ALAMOS GOLD INC. |
Market Closed -
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 20.91 CAD | +2.00% |
|
-0.71% | +17.34% |
| Apr. 26 | Alamos Gold's Price Target Trimmed To C$26.50 From C$27.00 by National Bank of Canada | MT |
| Apr. 25 | RBC Capital Markets Maintains Alamos' Outperform Rating, US$18 Price Target, On Q1 Results | MT |
Valuation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 2,356 | 3,429 | 3,016 | 3,973 | 5,334 | 6,078 | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 2,150 | 3,208 | 2,844 | 3,843 | 5,110 | 5,906 | 5,752 | 5,614 |
| P/E ratio | 24.1 x | 23.6 x | -45.3 x | 112 x | 25.4 x | 27 x | 19.8 x | 19.3 x |
| Yield | 0.66% | 0.74% | 1.3% | 0.99% | 0.74% | 0.63% | 0.65% | 0.65% |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 3.45 x | 4.58 x | 3.66 x | 4.84 x | 5.21 x | 5.12 x | 4.64 x | 4.51 x |
| EV / Revenue | 3.15 x | 4.29 x | 3.45 x | 4.68 x | 4.99 x | 4.97 x | 4.39 x | 4.16 x |
| EV / EBITDA | 7.25 x | 8.4 x | 7.07 x | 10.9 x | 10.5 x | 9.46 x | 7.74 x | 7.29 x |
| EV / FCF | -672 x | 26.2 x | 360 x | -253 x | 41.3 x | 38 x | 26.5 x | 24.4 x |
| FCF Yield | -0.15% | 3.81% | 0.28% | -0.4% | 2.42% | 2.63% | 3.77% | 4.1% |
| Price to Book | 0.88 x | 1.2 x | 1.1 x | 1.46 x | - | - | - | - |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 391,071 | 392,728 | 391,963 | 393,458 | 396,858 | 397,904 | - | - |
| Reference price 2 | 6.024 | 8.730 | 7.695 | 10.10 | 13.44 | 15.27 | 15.27 | 15.27 |
| Announcement Date | 2/19/20 | 2/24/21 | 2/23/22 | 2/22/23 | 2/21/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 683.1 | 748.1 | 823.6 | 821.2 | 1,023 | 1,188 | 1,311 | 1,348 |
| EBITDA 1 | 296.4 | 381.7 | 402 | 351.7 | 486.4 | 624 | 743.4 | 770.2 |
| EBIT 1 | 126 | 227.6 | 14.9 | 111.5 | 318.1 | 479.3 | 623.1 | 562 |
| Operating Margin | 18.45% | 30.42% | 1.81% | 13.58% | 31.09% | 40.35% | 47.52% | 41.68% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 128.9 | 218.2 | 2.3 | 52.6 | 293.7 | 486.7 | 631.8 | 510 |
| Net income 1 | 96.1 | 144.2 | -66.7 | 37.1 | 210 | 237.8 | 315.1 | 308 |
| Net margin | 14.07% | 19.28% | -8.1% | 4.52% | 20.52% | 20.02% | 24.04% | 22.84% |
| EPS 2 | 0.2500 | 0.3700 | -0.1700 | 0.0900 | 0.5300 | 0.5650 | 0.7733 | 0.7933 |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | -3.2 | 122.3 | 7.9 | -15.2 | 123.8 | 155.4 | 216.8 | 230 |
| FCF margin | -0.47% | 16.35% | 0.96% | -1.85% | 12.1% | 13.08% | 16.54% | 17.06% |
| FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | - | 32.04% | 1.97% | - | 25.45% | 24.91% | 29.16% | 29.86% |
| FCF Conversion (Net income) | - | 84.81% | - | - | 58.95% | 65.36% | 68.8% | 74.68% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 0.0400 | 0.0650 | 0.1000 | 0.1000 | 0.1000 | 0.0967 | 0.1000 | 0.1000 |
| Announcement Date | 2/19/20 | 2/24/21 | 2/23/22 | 2/22/23 | 2/21/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 Q4 | 2022 Q1 | 2022 Q2 | 2022 Q3 | 2022 Q4 | 2023 Q1 | 2023 Q2 | 2023 Q3 | 2023 Q4 | 2024 Q1 | 2024 Q2 | 2024 Q3 | 2024 Q4 | 2025 Q1 | 2025 Q2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 203.1 | 184.5 | 191.2 | 213.6 | 231.9 | 251.5 | 261 | 256.2 | 254.6 | 277.6 | 269 | 326.6 | 340.2 | - | - |
| EBITDA 1 | 88 | 62.9 | 92 | 96.4 | 100.4 | 119.9 | 138.9 | 126 | 101.6 | 125.7 | 143.9 | 200.3 | 205.1 | 166.7 | 168.3 |
| EBIT | 49.8 | -5.7 | 25.7 | 29.9 | 61.6 | 75 | 88.6 | 82.6 | 71.9 | - | - | 149.6 | 198 | - | - |
| Operating Margin | 24.52% | -3.09% | 13.44% | 14% | 26.56% | 29.82% | 33.95% | 32.24% | 28.24% | - | - | 45.81% | 58.19% | - | - |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) | 43.6 | -14.3 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Net income 1 | 29.5 | -8.5 | 6.4 | -1.4 | 52.6 | 48.4 | 75.1 | 39.4 | 47.1 | 42.1 | 83.36 | 92.56 | 124 | - | - |
| Net margin | 14.52% | -4.61% | 3.35% | -0.66% | 22.68% | 19.24% | 28.77% | 15.38% | 18.5% | 15.17% | 30.99% | 28.34% | 36.45% | - | - |
| EPS 2 | 0.0800 | -0.0200 | 0.0200 | - | 0.1000 | 0.1200 | 0.1900 | 0.1000 | 0.1200 | 0.1100 | 0.1800 | 0.1950 | 0.2350 | 0.1800 | 0.1900 |
| Dividend per Share | 0.0250 | 0.0250 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 2/23/22 | 4/27/22 | 7/27/22 | 10/26/22 | 2/22/23 | 4/26/23 | 7/26/23 | 10/25/23 | 2/21/24 | 4/24/24 | - | - | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Net Cash position 1 | 206 | 221 | 173 | 130 | 225 | 172 | 326 | 464 |
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | -3.2 | 122 | 7.9 | -15.2 | 124 | 155 | 217 | 230 |
| ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | 3.15% | 5.64% | -2.39% | 3.95% | 7.44% | 7.9% | 8.95% | 8.4% |
| ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | 2.5% | 4.45% | -1.84% | - | - | 5.8% | 7% | 7.3% |
| Assets 1 | 3,838 | 3,240 | 3,629 | - | - | 4,100 | 4,502 | 4,219 |
| Book Value Per Share | 6.850 | 7.260 | 6.970 | 6.910 | - | - | - | - |
| Cash Flow per Share 2 | 0.6600 | 0.9300 | 0.9100 | 0.7600 | 1.200 | 1.460 | 1.680 | 1.790 |
| Capex 1 | 264 | 246 | 349 | 314 | 349 | 427 | 429 | 469 |
| Capex / Sales | 38.59% | 32.9% | 42.33% | 38.2% | 34.1% | 35.94% | 32.71% | 34.82% |
| Announcement Date | 2/19/20 | 2/24/21 | 2/23/22 | 2/22/23 | 2/21/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B+
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
15.27
USD
Average target price
18.1
USD
Spread / Average Target
+18.50%
EPS Revisions
| 1st Jan change | Capi. | |
|---|---|---|
| +17.34% | 6.08B | |
| +3.24% | 49.27B | |
| +19.45% | 32.63B | |
| -2.42% | 29.96B | |
| +12.88% | 24.43B | |
| +10.62% | 11.31B | |
| +27.61% | 9.95B | |
| -.--% | 8.61B | |
| +14.84% | 8.27B | |
| +2.99% | 8.19B |
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- Financials Alamos Gold Inc.
