ASSURED GUARANTY LTD. |
Market Closed -
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 78.46 USD | +0.68% |
|
+1.21% | +4.85% |
| Apr. 01 | Keefe Bruyette & Woods Downgrades Assured Guaranty to Market Perform From Outperform, Adjusts Price Target to $92 From $75 | MT |
| Mar. 26 | Assured Guaranty Announces Executive Changes | CI |
Valuation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 4,673 | 2,542 | 3,504 | 3,733 | 4,282 | 4,353 | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 4,673 | 2,542 | 3,504 | 3,733 | 4,282 | 4,353 | 4,353 | 4,353 |
| P/E ratio | 12.3 x | 7.52 x | 9.6 x | 32.4 x | 6.08 x | 12.2 x | 11 x | 9.34 x |
| Yield | 1.47% | 2.54% | 1.75% | 1.61% | - | 1.58% | 1.71% | 1.91% |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 4.85 x | 2.57 x | 4.13 x | 5.16 x | 3.12 x | 5.34 x | 5.28 x | 4.91 x |
| EV / Revenue | 4.85 x | 2.57 x | 4.13 x | 5.16 x | 3.12 x | 5.34 x | 5.28 x | 4.91 x |
| EV / EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| EV / FCF | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| FCF Yield | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Price to Book | 0.69 x | 0.37 x | 0.54 x | 0.73 x | 0.74 x | 0.72 x | 0.66 x | 0.61 x |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 95,335 | 80,738 | 69,806 | 59,958 | 57,218 | 55,477 | - | - |
| Reference price 2 | 49.02 | 31.49 | 50.20 | 62.26 | 74.83 | 78.46 | 78.46 | 78.46 |
| Announcement Date | 2/27/20 | 2/25/21 | 2/24/22 | 2/28/23 | 2/27/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 964 | 989 | 848 | 723 | 1,373 | 815.7 | 823.8 | 886.5 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| EBIT | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Operating Margin | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) | 464 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Net income 1 | 402 | 362 | 389 | 124 | 739 | 343.2 | 337.3 | 346.3 |
| Net margin | 41.7% | 36.6% | 45.87% | 17.15% | 53.82% | 42.08% | 40.95% | 39.06% |
| EPS 2 | 4.000 | 4.190 | 5.230 | 1.920 | 12.30 | 6.436 | 7.120 | 8.396 |
| Free Cash Flow | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| FCF margin | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| FCF Conversion (Net income) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 0.7200 | 0.8000 | 0.8800 | 1.000 | - | 1.240 | 1.342 | 1.500 |
| Announcement Date | 2/27/20 | 2/25/21 | 2/24/22 | 2/28/23 | 2/27/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 Q3 | 2021 Q4 | 2022 Q1 | 2022 Q2 | 2022 Q3 | 2022 Q4 | 2023 Q1 | 2023 Q2 | 2023 Q3 | 2023 Q4 | 2024 Q1 | 2024 Q2 | 2024 Q3 | 2024 Q4 | 2025 Q1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 228 | 263 | 300 | 90 | 41 | 292 | 283 | 360 | 403 | 327 | 199.3 | 204.1 | 205.5 | 206.8 | 206.6 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| EBIT | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Operating Margin | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Net income 1 | 17 | 263 | 66 | -47 | 11 | 94 | 81 | 125 | 157 | 376 | 83.93 | 86.58 | 88.25 | 84.47 | 81.39 |
| Net margin | 7.46% | 100% | 22% | -52.22% | 26.83% | 32.19% | 28.62% | 34.72% | 38.96% | 114.98% | 42.11% | 42.41% | 42.95% | 40.85% | 39.39% |
| EPS 2 | 0.2200 | 3.740 | 0.9800 | -0.7400 | 0.1800 | 1.520 | 1.340 | 2.060 | 2.600 | 6.400 | 1.540 | 1.599 | 1.656 | 1.644 | 1.608 |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 0.2200 | 0.2200 | 0.2500 | 0.2500 | - | 0.2500 | - | 0.2800 | 0.2800 | - | 0.3100 | 0.3100 | 0.3100 | 0.3100 | 0.3410 |
| Announcement Date | 11/4/21 | 2/24/22 | 5/5/22 | 8/3/22 | 11/7/22 | 2/28/23 | 5/9/23 | 8/8/23 | 11/7/23 | 2/27/24 | - | - | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Net Cash position | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Free Cash Flow | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | 5.93% | 3.85% | 7.27% | 4.7% | 12% | 5.9% | 6.01% | 6.03% |
| ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | 2.8% | 1.73% | 2.8% | - | - | 2.8% | 2.8% | - |
| Assets 1 | 14,357 | 20,971 | 13,880 | - | - | 12,258 | 12,048 | - |
| Book Value Per Share 2 | 71.20 | 85.70 | 93.20 | 85.80 | 102.0 | 109.0 | 119.0 | 129.0 |
| Cash Flow per Share | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Capex | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Capex / Sales | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 2/27/20 | 2/25/21 | 2/24/22 | 2/28/23 | 2/27/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
4
Last Close Price
78.46
USD
Average target price
104.2
USD
Spread / Average Target
+32.87%
EPS Revisions
| 1st Jan change | Capi. | |
|---|---|---|
| +4.85% | 4.35B | |
| +38.91% | 61.52B | |
| +10.01% | 50.24B | |
| +12.05% | 48.88B | |
| +21.50% | 44.86B | |
| +22.39% | 33.96B | |
| +10.03% | 29.23B | |
| +50.11% | 27.95B | |
| +21.57% | 24.78B | |
| -3.96% | 20.38B |
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- Financials Assured Guaranty Ltd.
