Fitch Ratings has affirmed BRD-Groupe Societe Generale S.A.'s (BRD) Long-Term Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'BBB+' with a Negative Outlook.

A full list of rating actions is below.

Fitch has withdrawn BRD's Support Rating as it is no longer relevant to the agency's coverage following the publication of its updated Bank Rating Criteria on 12 November 2021. In line with the updated criteria, we have assigned BRD a Shareholder Support Rating (SSR) of 'bbb+'.

Key Rating Drivers

BRD's Long- and Short-Term IDRs reflect potential support from its majority owner, Societe Generale (SG; A-/Stable). BRD's Long-Term IDR is constrained by Romania's Country Ceiling and the Negative Outlook reflects that on the Romanian sovereign's IDR, as we expect the Romanian Country Ceiling to move in tandem with the sovereign rating.

We believe that SG would have a very strong propensity to provide support given the inclusion of BRD in SG's single-point-of-entry (SPE) resolution group and considerable reputational risk for SG from a default at BRD. Any required support for BRD would be immaterial relative to the parent's ability to provide it. Absent country risk constraints, we would equalise BRD's ratings with SG's.

In line with Fitch's applicable criteria, BRD's Short-Term IDR of 'F2' is at the lower of two options corresponding to a Long-Term IDR of 'BBB+' as the Long-Term IDR based on shareholder support is constrained by the Country Ceiling.

Rating Sensitivities

Factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to negative rating action/downgrade:

BRD's Long-Term IDR and SSR could be downgraded if the Romanian sovereign's Long-Term IDR and Country Ceiling were downgraded. Although not expected, the Long-Term IDR and SSR could also be downgraded following a multi-notch downgrade of SG's Long-Term IDR or if BRD becomes less strategically important to its parent.

Factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to positive rating action/upgrade:

An upgrade of the bank's Long-Term IDR and SSR would require an upgrade of Romania's sovereign Long-Term IDR and Country Ceiling (which is unlikely given the Negative Outlook on the sovereign rating).

Best/Worst Case Rating Scenario

International scale credit ratings of Financial Institutions and Covered Bond issuers have a best-case rating upgrade scenario (defined as the 99th percentile of rating transitions, measured in a positive direction) of three notches over a three-year rating horizon; and a worst-case rating downgrade scenario (defined as the 99th percentile of rating transitions, measured in a negative direction) of four notches over three years. The complete span of best- and worst-case scenario credit ratings for all rating categories ranges from 'AAA' to 'D'. Best- and worst-case scenario credit ratings are based on historical performance. For more information about the methodology used to determine sector-specific best- and worst-case scenario credit ratings, visit https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/10111579

REFERENCES FOR SUBSTANTIALLY MATERIAL SOURCE CITED AS KEY DRIVER OF RATING

The principal sources of information used in the analysis are described in the Applicable Criteria.

Public Ratings with Credit Linkage to other ratings

BRD's Long-Term IDR is capped by the Romanian Country Ceiling and therefore linked to the Romanian sovereign Long-Term IDR. BRD's IDRs and SR are driven by support from SG and therefore linked to the latter's IDR.

ESG CONSIDERATIONS

Unless otherwise disclosed in this section, the highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3'. This means ESG issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are being managed by the entity. For more information on Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores, visit www.fitchratings.com/esg

RATING ACTIONS

Entity / Debt

Rating

Prior

BRD-Groupe Societe Generale S.A.

LT IDR

BBB+

Affirmed

BBB+

ST IDR

F2

Affirmed

F2

Support

WD

Withdrawn

2

Shareholder Support

bbb+

New Rating

Page

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VIEW ADDITIONAL RATING DETAILS

Additional information is available on www.fitchratings.com

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