FLOWERS FOODS, INC. REPORTS FOURTH QUARTER AND FULL YEAR 2023 RESULTS

THOMASVILLE, Ga., Feb. 8, 2024 /PRNewswire/ -- Flowers Foods, Inc. (NYSE: FLO) today reported financial results for the company's 52-week fiscal 2023 and 12-week fourth quarter ended December 30, 2023.

Fiscal 2023 Summary:
Compared to the prior year where applicable

• Sales increased 5.9% to a record $5.091 billion.
• Net income decreased 46.0% to $123.4 million, primarily due to increased legal settlement expense. Adjusted net income(1) decreased 5.4% to $256.3 million.
• Adjusted EBITDA(1) decreased 0.1% to $501.7 million, representing 9.9% of sales, a 50-basis point decrease.
• Diluted EPS decreased $0.49 to $0.58. Adjusted diluted EPS(1) decreased $0.07 to $1.20.

Fourth Quarter Summary:
Compared to the prior year fourth quarter where applicable

• Sales increased 4.3% to a fourth-quarter record, $1.129 billion.
• Net income decreased 26.6% to $35.7 million, primarily due to increased SD&A and depreciation and amortization expense. Adjusted net income(1) decreased 11.2% to $42.7 million.
• Adjusted EBITDA(1) increased 0.1% to $96.3 million, representing 8.5% of sales, a 40-basis point decrease.
• Diluted EPS decreased $0.06 to $0.17. Adjusted diluted EPS(1) decreased $0.03 to $0.20.

Chairman and CEO Remarks:

"Flowers' fourth quarter and full year 2023 results underscore the strength of our leading brands, as we delivered record sales despite difficult market conditions," said Ryals McMullian, chairman and CEO of Flowers Foods. "Volume trends improved throughout the year, and we gained dollar and unit share in the fourth quarter for the first time since early 2022, reflecting the hard work of our team and investments in innovation and marketing. Dave's Killer Bread was a particular standout, achieving a record $1 billion in 2023 retail sales. Accelerated by our portfolio strategy, we also improved margins significantly in our cake, foodservice, and private label businesses.

"The 2024 outlook reflects confidence in our ability to successfully execute in a challenging category. Results are expected to benefit from moderating commodity costs, positive pricing actions, and savings initiatives. Our strong execution on promotions is driving improved returns, but the competitive environment remains rational, with promotional activity significantly below pre-pandemic levels. We remain committed to investing in innovation and marketing, as well as converting our distribution model in California. While these initiatives may present near-term headwinds, they are expected to ultimately enhance shareholder value. Above all, we are focused on enabling future growth in line with our long-term financial targets."

For the 52-week Fiscal 2024, the Company Expects:

• Sales in the range of approximately $5.091 billion to $5.172 billion, representing 0.0% to 1.6% growth compared to the prior year.
• Adjusted EBITDA(2) in the range of approximately $524 million to $553 million.
• Adjusted diluted EPS(2) in the range of approximately $1.20 to $1.30.

The company's outlook is based on the following assumptions:

• Depreciation and amortization in the range of $160 million to $165 million.
• Net interest expense of approximately $22 million to $26 million.
• An effective tax rate of approximately 25%.
• Weighted average diluted share count for the year of approximately 213 million shares.
• Capital expenditures in the range of $120 million to $130 million, with $3 million to $6 million related to the ERP upgrade.

Matters Affecting Comparability:

Consolidated Fourth Quarter Operating Highlights
Compared to the prior year fourth quarter where applicable

• Sales increased 4.3% to $1.129 billion, a fourth-quarter record. Pricing/mix(3) increased 5.6%, volume(4) declined 2.4%, and the Papa Pita acquisition added 1.1%.
  • Branded Retail sales increased $25.1 million or 3.6% to $724.6 million due to higher prices intended to offset inflationary pressures, improved mix from greater branded organic product sales, and the acquisition contribution, partially offset by volume declines. Pricing/mix(3) rose 2.6%, volume(4) declined 0.3%, and the Papa Pita acquisition added 1.3%.
  • Other sales increased $21.3 million or 5.6% to $404.4 million due to price increases intended to offset inflationary pressures, and the acquisition contribution, partially offset by volume declines. Pricing/mix(3) rose 9.2%, volume(4) declined 4.4%, and the Papa Pita acquisition added 0.8%.
• Materials, supplies, labor, and other production costs (exclusive of depreciation and amortization) were 52.1% of sales, a 110-basis point decrease. These costs decreased as a percentage of sales due to moderating input cost inflation and reduced outside purchases resulting from the acquisition, partially offset by higher labor and maintenance costs.
• Selling, distribution, and administrative (SD&A) expenses were 39.7% of sales, a 180-basis point increase. Increased labor, insurance, marketing, and technology expenses and a prior year gain on sale of assets were partly offset by lower distributor distribution fees as a percentage of sales and bad debt expense. Excluding matters affecting comparability, adjusted SD&A expenses were 39.4% of sales, a 150-basis point increase, due to the factors listed above except for a prior year gain on sale of assets.
• The company recognized impairments of $6.3 million that represented 0.6% of sales. An impairment for a cost method investment was $5.5 million and the other impairment was $0.8 million for an asset held for sale.
• Depreciation and amortization (D&A) expenses were $37.0 million or 3.3% of sales, a 30-basis point increase.
• Net interest expense increased $3.6 million primarily due to increased interest expense and relatively lower interest income.
• Net income decreased 26.6% to $35.7 million. Adjusted net income(1) decreased 11.2% to $42.7 million.
• Adjusted EBITDA(1) increased 0.1% to $96.3 million, representing 8.5% of sales, a 40-basis point decrease.

Cash Flow, Capital Allocation, and Capital Return

For fiscal 2023, cash flow from operating activities decreased $11.5 million to $349.4 million, capital expenditures decreased $40.0 million to $129.1 million, and dividends paid to shareholders increased $8.7 million to $195.2 million. Cash and cash equivalents were $22.5 million at the end of fiscal 2023.

Pre-Recorded Management Remarks and Question and Answer Webcast

In conjunction with this release, pre-recorded management remarks and a supporting slide presentation will be posted to the Flowers Foods website. The company will host a live question and answer webcast at 8:30 a.m. (Eastern) on February 9, 2024. The pre-recorded remarks and webcast will be archived on the investors page of flowersfoods.com.

About Flowers Foods

Headquartered in Thomasville, Ga., Flowers Foods, Inc. (NYSE: FLO) is one of the largest producers of packaged bakery foods in the United States with 2023 sales of $5.1 billion. Flowers operates bakeries across the country that produce a wide range of bakery products. Among the company's top brands are Nature's Own, Dave's Killer Bread, Wonder, Canyon Bakehouse, and Tastykake. Learn more at www.flowersfoods.com.

FLO-CORP FLO-IR

Forward-Looking Statements

Statements contained in this press release and certain other written or oral statements made from time to time by Flowers Foods, Inc. (the "company", "Flowers Foods", "Flowers", "us", "we", or "our") and its representatives that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements relate to current expectations regarding our business and our future financial condition and results of operations and are often identified by the use of words and phrases such as "anticipate," "believe," "continue," "could," "estimate," "expect," "intend," "may," "plan," "predict," "project," "should," "will," "would," "is likely to," "is expected to" or "will continue," or the negative of these terms or other comparable terminology. These forward-looking statements are based upon assumptions we believe are reasonable. Forward-looking statements are based on current information and are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual results to differ materially from those projected. Certain factors that may cause actual results, performance, liquidity, and achievements to differ materially from those projected are discussed in our Annual Report on Form 10-K (the "Form 10-K") and Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC") and may include, but are not limited to, (a) unexpected changes in any of the following: (1) general economic and business conditions; (2) the competitive setting in which we operate, including advertising or promotional strategies by us or our competitors, as well as changes in consumer demand; (3) interest rates and other terms available to us on our borrowings; (4) supply chain conditions and any related impact on energy and raw materials costs and availability and hedging counter-party risks; (5) relationships with or increased costs related to our employees and third-party service providers; (6) laws and regulations (including environmental and health-related issues); and (7) accounting standards or tax rates in the markets in which we operate,  (b) the loss or financial instability of any significant customer(s), including as a result of product recalls or safety concerns related to our products, (c) changes in consumer behavior, trends and preferences, including health and whole grain trends, and the movement toward less expensive store branded products, (d) the level of success we achieve in developing and introducing new products and entering new markets, (e) our ability to implement new technology and customer requirements as required, (f) our ability to operate existing, and any new, manufacturing lines according to schedule, (g) our ability to implement and achieve our environmental, social, and governance goals in accordance with regulatory requirements and expectations of stakeholders, suppliers, and customers; (h) our ability to execute our business strategies which may involve, among other things, (1) the ability to realize the intended benefits of completed, planned or contemplated acquisitions, dispositions or joint ventures, (2) the deployment of new systems (e.g., our enterprise resource planning ("ERP") system), distribution channels and technology, and (3) an enhanced organizational structure (e.g., our sales and supply chain reorganization), (i) consolidation within the baking industry and related industries, (j) changes in pricing, customer and consumer reaction to pricing actions (including decreased volumes), and the pricing environment among competitors within the industry, (k) our ability to adjust pricing to offset, or partially offset, inflationary pressure on the cost of our products, including ingredient and packaging costs; (l) disruptions in our direct-store-delivery distribution model, including litigation or an adverse ruling by a court or regulatory or governmental body that could affect the independent contractor classifications of the independent distributor partners, and changes to our direct-store-delivery distribution model in California, (m) increasing legal complexity and legal proceedings that we are or may become subject to, (n) labor shortages and turnover or increases in employee and employee-related costs, (o) the credit, business, and legal risks associated with independent distributor partners and customers, which operate in the highly competitive retail food and foodservice industries, (p) any business disruptions due to political instability, pandemics, armed hostilities (including the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine and the conflict in the Middle East), incidents of terrorism, natural disasters, labor strikes or work stoppages, technological breakdowns, product contamination, product recalls or safety concerns related to our products, or the responses to or repercussions from any of these or similar events or conditions and our ability to insure against such events, (q) the failure of our information technology systems to perform adequately, including any interruptions, intrusions, cyber-attacks or security breaches of such systems or risks associated with the implementation of the upgrade of our ERP system; and (r) the potential impact of climate change on the company, including physical and transition risks, availability or restriction of resources, higher regulatory and compliance costs, reputational risks, and availability of capital on attractive terms. The foregoing list of important factors does not include all such factors, nor does it necessarily present them in order of importance. In addition, you should consult other disclosures made by the company (such as in our other filings with the SEC or in company press releases) for other factors that may cause actual results to differ materially from those projected by the company. Refer to Part I, Item 1A., Risk Factors, of the Form 10-K, Part II, Item 1A., Risk Factors, of the Form 10-Q for the quarter ended October 7, 2023 and subsequent filings with the SEC for additional information regarding factors that could affect the company's results of operations, financial condition and liquidity. We caution you not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, as they speak only as of the date made and are inherently uncertain. The company undertakes no obligation to publicly revise or update such statements, except as required by law. You are advised, however, to consult any further public disclosures by the company (such as in our filings with the SEC or in company press releases) on related subjects.

Information Regarding Non-GAAP Financial Measures

The company prepares its consolidated financial statements in accordance with U.S. Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP). However, from time to time, the company may present in its public statements, press releases and SEC filings, non-GAAP financial measures such as, EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA margin, adjusted net income, adjusted diluted EPS, adjusted income tax expense, adjusted selling, distribution and administrative expenses (SD&A), and gross margin excluding depreciation and amortization. The reconciliations attached provide reconciliations of the non-GAAP measures used in this presentation or release to the most comparable GAAP financial measure. The company's definitions of these non-GAAP measures may differ from similarly titled measures used by others. These non-GAAP measures should be considered supplemental to, and not a substitute for, financial information prepared in accordance with GAAP.

The company defines EBITDA as earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. Earnings are net income. The company believes that EBITDA is a useful tool for managing the operations of its business and is an indicator of the company's ability to incur and service indebtedness and generate free cash flow. The company also believes that EBITDA measures are commonly reported and widely used by investors and other interested parties as measures of a company's operating performance and debt servicing ability because EBITDA measures assist in comparing performance on a consistent basis without regard to depreciation or amortization, which can vary significantly depending upon accounting methods and non-operating factors (such as historical cost). EBITDA is also a widely-accepted financial indicator of a company's ability to incur and service indebtedness.

EBITDA should not be considered an alternative to (a) income from operations or net income (loss) as a measure of operating performance; (b) cash flows provided by operating, investing and financing activities (as determined in accordance with GAAP) as a measure of the company's ability to meet its cash needs; or (c) any other indicator of performance or liquidity that has been determined in accordance with GAAP.

The company defines adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA margin, adjusted net income, adjusted diluted EPS, adjusted income tax expense and adjusted SD&A, respectively, to exclude additional costs that the company considers important to present to investors to increase the investors' insights about the company's core operations. These costs include, but are not limited to, the costs of closing a plant or costs associated with acquisition-related activities, restructuring activities, certain impairment charges, legal settlements, costs to implement an enterprise resource planning system and enhance bakery digital capabilities (business process improvement costs) to provide investors direct insight into these costs, and other costs impacting past and future comparability. The company believes that these measures, when considered together with its GAAP financial results, provides management and investors with a more complete understanding of its business operating results, including underlying trends, by excluding the effects of certain charges. Adjusted EBITDA is used as the primary performance measure in the company's 2014 Omnibus Equity and Incentive Compensation Plan (Amended and Restated Effective May 25, 2023).

Presentation of gross margin includes depreciation and amortization in the materials, supplies, labor and other production costs according to GAAP. Our method of presenting gross margin excludes the depreciation and amortization components, as discussed above.

The reconciliations attached provide reconciliations of the non-GAAP measures used in this presentation or release to the most comparable GAAP financial measure.

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SOURCE Flowers Foods, Inc.