Research Update:

Grupo Famsa 'CCC-' 2024 Note Rating Placed On CreditWatch Negative After Announced Liquidation Of Bank Unit

July 2, 2020

Rating Action Overview

PRIMARY CREDIT ANALYST

  • - On June 30, 2020, Mexican regulators notified Banco Ahorro Famsa S.A. Institucion de Banca Multiple (BAF), a subsidiary of Grupo Famsa, S.A.B. de C.V. (GFamsa), on the revocation of its license to operate as a commercial bank in Mexico. The government announced it will liquidate BAF, seeking to protect account holders.

    Santiago Cajal Mexico City + 52 55 5081 4521 santiago.cajal @spglobal.com

  • - In our view, this event will severely disrupt the company's operations and could affect its debt-restructuring plan, involving the recent prepackaged Chapter 11 filing, in which the company sought to get judiciary approval to continue servicing unimpaired debt, meaning all obligations except 2020 notes.

    SECONDARY CONTACT

  • - Moreover, on July 2, 2020, GFamsa announced that as a result of BAF's liquidation, it won't pay interest and principal on its local debt certificate with ticker GFAMSA 04819, and won't pay the interest on GFAMSA 06019.

Alexandre P Michel Mexico City + 52 55 5081 4520 alexandre.michel @spglobal.com

  • - As a result, S&P Global Ratings is placing its 'CCC-' issue-level rating on the company's senior secured notes due 2024 on CreditWatch with negative implications, while we affirmed our issuer credit rating at 'SD'. The 2024 senior secured notes have a recovery rating of '3', indicating our expectation of meaningful recovery prospect of 50%-90%, in an hypothetical event of default on these notes.

  • - The CreditWatch negative listing reflects a potential downgrade of the issue-level rating in the near term, depending on BAF's liquidation progress and its potential implications for GFamsa's operation and debt-restructuring plan.

Rating Action Rationale

The CreditWatch negative listing reflects greater uncertainty in the near term over the company's operation and debt-restructuring plan, which could impair its financial capacity to service its 2024 notes.

On June 30, 2020, the Mexican government announced the license revocation of BAF and its liquidation. BAF operated as the group's captive finance unit, enhancing GFamsa's retail sales through credit and representing a significant portion of the group's balance sheet. In our view, this recent development will affect the company's operation and capacity to service debt as it comes due in the foreseeable future, including the interest payment of its 2024 notes due Dec. 15, 2020. Moreover, on July 2, 2020, GFamsa announced that it won't pay interest and principal on one of its local debt certificates with ticker GFAMSA 04819, and won't pay interest due on another one with ticker GFAMSA 06019. The company made this decision as a result of BAF's ongoing liquidation.

The prepackaged Chapter 11 filing presented on June 26, 2020, included several motions recently authorized, which imply judicial approval for GFamsa to continue servicing debt not related to its 2020 notes.

CreditWatch

The CreditWatch negative listing reflects a potential downgrade of the 'CCC-' issue-level rating in the near term, depending on BAF's liquidation and its potential implications for GFamsa's operations and debt-restructuring plan. We expect to resolve the CreditWatch listing in the next 90 days or once we have more certainty on the company's debt restructuring plan and the company's operations, after BAF liquidation.

Related Criteria

  • - General Criteria: Group Rating Methodology, July 1, 2019

  • - Criteria | Corporates | General: Corporate Methodology: Ratios And Adjustments, April 1, 2019

  • - Criteria | Corporates | General: Recovery Rating Criteria For Speculative-Grade Corporate

    Issuers, Dec. 7, 2016

  • - Criteria | Corporates | Recovery: Methodology: Jurisdiction Ranking Assessments, Jan. 20, 2016

  • - Criteria | Corporates | General: Methodology: The Impact Of Captive Finance Operations On

    Nonfinancial Corporate Issuers, Dec. 14, 2015

  • - Criteria | Corporates | General: Methodology And Assumptions: Liquidity Descriptors For Global

    Corporate Issuers, Dec. 16, 2014

  • - Criteria | Corporates | General: Corporate Methodology, Nov. 19, 2013

  • - General Criteria: Country Risk Assessment Methodology And Assumptions, Nov. 19, 2013

  • - General Criteria: Methodology: Industry Risk, Nov. 19, 2013

  • - General Criteria: Methodology: Timeliness Of Payments: Grace Periods, Guarantees, And Use Of

    'D' And 'SD' Ratings, Oct. 24, 2013

  • - General Criteria: Methodology: Management And Governance Credit Factors For Corporate

    Entities, Nov. 13, 2012

  • - General Criteria: Criteria For Assigning 'CCC+', 'CCC', 'CCC-', And 'CC' Ratings, Oct. 1, 2012

  • - General Criteria: Use Of CreditWatch And Outlooks, Sept. 14, 2009

Ratings List

Ratings Affirmed

Grupo Famsa S.A.B. de C.V.

Issuer Credit Rating

SD/--/--

Ratings Affirmed; CreditWatch/Outlook Action

To

From

Grupo Famsa S.A.B. de C.V.

Senior Secured

CCC-/Watch Neg

CCC-

Recovery Rating

3

Certain terms used in this report, particularly certain adjectives used to express our view on rating relevant factors, have specific meanings ascribed to them in our criteria, and should therefore be read in conjunction with such criteria. Please see Ratings Criteria atwww.standardandpoors.comfor further information. Complete ratings information is available to subscribers of RatingsDirect atwww.capitaliq.com. All ratings affected by this rating action can be found on S&P Global Ratings' public website atwww.standardandpoors.com. Use the Ratings search box located in the left column.

Certain terms used in this report, particularly certain adjectives used to express our view on rating relevant factors, have specific meanings ascribed to them in our criteria, and should therefore be read in conjunction with such criteria. Please see Ratings Criteria atwww.standardandpoors.comfor further information. Complete ratings information is available to subscribers of RatingsDirect atwww.capitaliq.com. All ratings affected by this rating action can be found on S&P Global Ratings' public website atwww.standardandpoors.com. Use the Ratings search box located in the left column.

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Grupo FAMSA SAB de CV published this content on 02 July 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 03 July 2020 06:13:09 UTC