HELLO GROUP INC. |
Market Closed -
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 5.83 USD | +1.92% |
|
+4.29% | -16.12% |
| Apr. 18 | Anax Metals: Pioneering innovation and growth in the Australian mining sector | FI |
| Apr. 15 | Hello Group Inc. Appoints Jianhua Wen as Chief Technology Officer | CI |
Valuation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 33,736 | 48,596 | 18,937 | 11,234 | 11,932 | 7,923 | 7,923 | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 27,477 | 38,625 | 12,666 | 7,369 | 9,560 | 9,369 | 1,331 | -46.83 |
| P/E ratio | 12.4 x | 17.2 x | 9.44 x | -3.96 x | 8.47 x | 5.01 x | 5.13 x | 4.83 x |
| Yield | 1.27% | 1.15% | - | 3.57% | 4.03% | 9.79% | 7.24% | 8.07% |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 2.58 x | 2.86 x | 1.26 x | 0.77 x | 0.94 x | 0.78 x | 0.74 x | 0.71 x |
| EV / Revenue | 2.1 x | 2.27 x | 0.84 x | 0.51 x | 0.75 x | 0.78 x | 0.12 x | -0 x |
| EV / EBITDA | 7.84 x | 9.51 x | 4.15 x | 3.24 x | 5.5 x | 3.93 x | 0.68 x | -0.02 x |
| EV / FCF | 9.13 x | 7.34 x | 4.28 x | 5.03 x | 8.34 x | -0.38 x | 0.63 x | -0.02 x |
| FCF Yield | 11% | 13.6% | 23.3% | 19.9% | 12% | -262% | 159% | -4,309% |
| Price to Book | 3.14 x | 3.55 x | 1.26 x | 1.06 x | 1.08 x | 0.68 x | 0.62 x | 0.56 x |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 206,600 | 208,374 | 207,901 | 196,952 | 192,655 | 187,543 | 187,543 | - |
| Reference price 2 | 163.3 | 233.2 | 91.09 | 57.04 | 61.94 | 42.25 | 42.25 | 42.25 |
| Announcement Date | 3/12/19 | 3/19/20 | 3/25/21 | 3/24/22 | 3/16/23 | 3/14/24 | - | - |
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 13,081 | 17,015 | 15,024 | 14,576 | 12,704 | 12,002 | 10,741 | 11,165 |
| EBITDA 1 | 3,507 | 4,063 | 3,050 | 2,272 | 1,740 | 2,385 | 1,954 | 2,095 |
| EBIT 1 | 3,838 | 5,115 | 3,362 | 2,587 | 2,029 | 2,572 | 1,912 | 2,044 |
| Operating Margin | 29.34% | 30.06% | 22.38% | 17.75% | 15.97% | 21.43% | 17.8% | 18.31% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 3,355 | 3,868 | 2,899 | -2,095 | 2,031 | 2,652 | 2,114 | 2,243 |
| Net income 1 | 2,747 | 2,971 | 2,103 | -2,914 | 1,484 | 1,958 | 1,580 | 1,706 |
| Net margin | 21% | 17.46% | 14% | -19.99% | 11.68% | 16.31% | 14.71% | 15.28% |
| EPS 2 | 13.18 | 13.52 | 9.650 | -14.40 | 7.310 | 9.840 | 8.237 | 8.747 |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 3,009 | 5,262 | 2,957 | 1,464 | 1,146 | 2,247 | 2,112 | 2,018 |
| FCF margin | 23.01% | 30.93% | 19.68% | 10.04% | 9.02% | 18.85% | 19.67% | 18.07% |
| FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | 85.81% | 129.52% | 96.95% | 64.43% | 65.9% | 96.32% | 108.08% | 96.32% |
| FCF Conversion (Net income) | 109.56% | 177.13% | 140.56% | - | 77.24% | 118.6% | 133.71% | 118.29% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 2.079 | 2.690 | - | 2.038 | 2.495 | 4.136 | 3.060 | 3.411 |
| Announcement Date | 3/12/19 | 3/19/20 | 3/25/21 | 3/24/22 | 3/16/23 | 3/14/24 | - | - |
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 Q2 | 2021 Q3 | 2021 Q4 | 2022 Q1 | 2022 Q2 | 2022 Q3 | 2022 Q4 | 2023 Q1 | 2023 Q2 | 2023 Q3 | 2023 Q4 | 2024 Q1 | 2024 Q2 | 2024 Q3 | 2024 Q4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 3,672 | 3,759 | 3,674 | 3,148 | 3,110 | 3,233 | 3,213 | 2,819 | 3,138 | 3,043 | 3,003 | 2,481 | 2,691 | 2,771 | 2,843 |
| EBITDA 1 | 762.5 | 533.9 | 415.9 | 381.3 | - | 548.5 | 434.4 | 542 | 728.9 | - | 618.7 | - | - | - | - |
| EBIT | 781.9 | 637.2 | 507 | 460.6 | 464.1 | 605.1 | 499.2 | 517.8 | 708.8 | 681.2 | 664.2 | 445.2 | 502.1 | 500.4 | 461 |
| Operating Margin | 21.29% | 16.95% | 13.8% | 14.63% | 14.92% | 18.72% | 15.54% | 18.37% | 22.59% | 22.39% | 22.12% | 17.94% | 18.66% | 18.06% | 16.21% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 752 | 535.4 | -3,934 | 442.2 | 477.9 | 624.8 | 486.4 | 525.5 | 753 | 699.3 | 674.5 | 480.6 | 552.9 | 563.9 | 562.8 |
| Net income 1 | 464.2 | 403.2 | -4,243 | 289.9 | 345.6 | 450.8 | 398 | 390.3 | 568.4 | 546.4 | 452.5 | 331.3 | 398.1 | 398.9 | 397.7 |
| Net margin | 12.64% | 10.73% | -115.47% | 9.21% | 11.11% | 13.94% | 12.39% | 13.85% | 18.12% | 17.96% | 15.07% | 13.35% | 14.79% | 14.4% | 13.99% |
| EPS 2 | 1.070 | 1.930 | -21.50 | 1.420 | 0.8400 | 2.200 | 2.010 | 1.960 | 1.410 | 2.750 | 2.320 | 1.717 | 2.001 | 1.992 | 1.836 |
| Dividend per Share | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3.971 | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 8/26/21 | 11/30/21 | 3/24/22 | 6/7/22 | 9/1/22 | 12/8/22 | 3/16/23 | 6/6/23 | 8/31/23 | 12/8/23 | 3/14/24 | - | - | - | - |
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
| Fiscal Period: December | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Net Cash position 1 | 6,259 | 9,971 | 6,271 | 3,865 | 2,372 | 8,780 | 6,592 | 7,970 |
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 3,009 | 5,262 | 2,957 | 1,464 | 1,146 | 2,247 | 2,112 | 2,018 |
| ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | 31% | 24% | 20.3% | 16% | 14% | 17.3% | 13.7% | 13.4% |
| ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | 20.2% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 9.86% | 8.75% | 12.1% | 9.48% | 9.46% |
| Assets 1 | 13,617 | 20,725 | 16,597 | -29,559 | 16,970 | 15,655 | 16,663 | 18,039 |
| Book Value Per Share 2 | 52.00 | 65.80 | 72.00 | 53.60 | 57.20 | 62.20 | 68.10 | 75.40 |
| Cash Flow per Share 2 | 15.20 | 24.20 | 13.60 | 7.710 | 5.790 | 11.00 | 10.10 | 11.20 |
| Capex 1 | 237 | 187 | 124 | 95.3 | 80.4 | 129 | 102 | 141 |
| Capex / Sales | 1.81% | 1.1% | 0.83% | 0.65% | 0.63% | 1.08% | 0.95% | 1.26% |
| Announcement Date | 3/12/19 | 3/19/20 | 3/25/21 | 3/24/22 | 3/16/23 | 3/14/24 | - | - |
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B-
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
42.25
CNY
Average target price
65.66
CNY
Spread / Average Target
+55.43%
EPS Revisions
| 1st Jan change | Capi. | |
|---|---|---|
| -16.12% | 1.09B | |
| +27.09% | 24.31B | |
| +9.94% | 2.63B | |
| -20.45% | 1.91B | |
| +80.82% | 1.86B | |
| -0.20% | 1.27B | |
| +7.97% | 1.36B | |
| -50.86% | 1.51B | |
| -18.38% | 1.25B | |
| +15.94% | 1.13B |
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