Investor Conference
November 14, 2023
Chief Executive Officer Naoki Ono
Table of Contents
- Outlook for FY March 2024
- Progress on Major Initiatives of the FY2031 Strategy
- Expansion of Resource Recycling
- Enhancing the Supply of High-performance Materials and Products
- Renewable Energy Business
- Management Focused on Capital Cost and Stock Price
2
1. Outlook for FY March 2024
Trends in the External Environment
- Copper price fell due to oversupply with inventories at LME-designated warehouses more
Copper price than tripling in less than three months as a result of sluggish demand in China. In October,
the price fell below the milestone of $8,000 per ton, reaching a four-month low.
Foreign
Exchange
Automotive
-related
Semiconductor
-related
- The dollar-yen rate hit a one-year low, reaching a milestone of 150 yen to the dollar in late October, as interest rate differential between the Japanese yen and the U.S. and European currencies widened.
- The yen continued to depreciate, with the euro-yen exchange rate hitting ¥160 per euro in late October, the highest level in 15 years.
- In the automobile market, demand from auto manufacturers and Tier1 companies continued to recover as the semiconductor shortage moved toward an end, but demand from materials manufacturers did not recover.
- Orders in the Copper & Copper Alloy business are currently on a recovery trend, and earnings from the business are expected in the H2.
- The semiconductor market is stagnant due to lower sales of device makers.
- Demand remains weak, and the recovery is expected to be delayed from FY2024 H2 to FY2025 H1.
4
Financial Plan for the FY2031 Strategy
- The earnings forecast for FY2024 is expected to show a decrease in ordinary profit compared to the previous forecast, but demand is expected to recover going forward. We consider that the FY2031 Strategy targets (FY2026 and FY2031) can be sufficiently achieved by implementing the measures set forth in the FY2031 Strategy (described on page 10 and later) and strengthening competitiveness through cost reduction (described on page 8).
- Dividend payout ratio is targeted to be 30%, and the Company plans to pay a dividend of ¥94 per share for FY2024.
FY2023 | FY 2024 Forecast | FY2026 | FY2031 | |||||
Result | Previous | Current | Change | Plan | Target | |||
(May 12) | (November 9) | |||||||
Net sales | Billions | 1,625.9 | 1,670.0 | 1,660.0 | -10.0 | 1,940.0 | 2,000.0 | |
(Net sales excluding metal) | of yen | (608.0) | (706.0) | (604.0) | (-102.0) | (690.0) | (850.0) | |
Operating profit | Billions | 50.0 | 50.0 | 40.0 | -10.0 | 70.0 | 130.0 | |
of yen | ||||||||
Ordinary profit | Billions | 25.3 | 58.0 | 56.0 | -2.0 | 87.0 | 180.0 | |
of yen | ||||||||
ROIC | % | 1.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | -0.1 | 5.5% | 9.0% | |
ROE | % | 3.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | -0.5 | 10.0% | 13.6% | |
EBITDA | Billions | 75.7 | 113.0 | 110.0 | -3.0 | 150.0 | 260.0 | |
of yen | ||||||||
Net D/E ratio | Times | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | - | 0.7 | 0.5 or less | |
Net interest-bearing debt | Times | 5.2 | 4.1 | 4.1 | - | 3.5 | 2.0 or less | |
/EBITDA ratio | ||||||||
Dividends (annual) | Yen | 50 | 94 | 94 | - | |||
5
Capital Allocation
- Cash inflows are expected to be ¥154.0 bn, almost in line with the Phase 1 (FY2024 - FY2026) plan of ¥420.0 bn.
- Operating CF is almost in line with the plan at ¥90.0 bn, with an increase in interest-bearing debt ahead of schedule and no major increase expected from asset sales this fiscal year.
- Cash outflows are generally progressing as planned. Going forward, we will carefully review projects and consider their compatibility with our mission and the balance between "maintenance and upgrading investment" and "growth investment."
¥420.0 billion
Sale of assets 40.0
¥420.0 billion
Increase in interest-
bearing debt
100.0
Operating CF
280.0
¥154.0 billion
Sale of assets 1.0
Increase in interest-
bearing debt
63.0
Operating CF
90.0
Dividends, etc. 60.0
Maintenance and
upgrading investment
130.0
Growth Investment
230.0
- 154.0 billion
Dividends, etc. 20.0
Maintenance and
upgrading investment
45.0
Growth investment
89.0
Phase 1 | FY2024 Forecast |
(FY2024 - FY2026)
Plan IN
Phase 1 | FY2024 Forecast |
(FY2024 - FY2026) |
Plan OUT
6
Ordinary Profit and ROIC by Business
-
The Copper & Copper Alloy and Electronic Materials & Components businesses revised downward its previous forecast for FY2024
(Billions of yen)
FY2023 | FY2024 Forecast | FY2026 | FY2031 | ||||
Result | Previous | Current | Change | Plan | Target | ||
(May 12) | (Nov. 9) | ||||||
Ordinary profit | 2.4 | 13.0 | 11.7 | -1.3 | 11.4 | 48.3 | |||
Resources Business | |||||||||
Metals | ROIC | 1.1% | 9.2% | 5.7% | -3.5 | 9.0% | 18.6% | ||
WACC:9.7% | |||||||||
Company | Smelting & | Ordinary profit | 25.9 | 21.1 | 23.5 | +2.4 | 27.0 | 35.0 | |
Resource Recycling | |||||||||
Business* | ROIC | 8.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | +0.8 | 7.1% | 7.6% | ||
WACC:5.4% | |||||||||
Copper & Copper | Ordinary profit | -0.0 | 6.7 | 1.8 | -4.9 | 12.4 | 16.4 | ||
Alloy Business | |||||||||
Advanced | ROIC | 0.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | -1.4 | 4.0% | 5.0% | ||
WACC:2.7% | |||||||||
Products | |||||||||
Ordinary profit | 7.7 | 6.3 | 2.7 | -3.6 | 8.6 | 20.4 | |||
Company | Electronic Materials | ||||||||
& Components | |||||||||
Business | ROIC | 8.7% | 6.5% | 3.1% | -3.4 | 7.8% | 14.2% | ||
WACC:7.4% | |||||||||
Metalworking | Metalworking | Ordinary profit | 14.5 | 15.2 | 15.6 | +0.4 | 25.0 | 52.7 | |
Solutions | |||||||||
Solutions Business | |||||||||
ROIC | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | +0.5 | 8.6% | 13.1% | |||
Company | |||||||||
WACC:6.5% | |||||||||
Ordinary profit | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.5 | +0.1 | 2.3 | 4.3 | |||
Renewable Energy Business | |||||||||
ROIC | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | - | 3.7% | 4.7% | |||
WACC:1.6% | |||||||||
Ordinary profit | 25.3 | 58.0 | 56.0 | -2.0 | 87.0 | 180.0 | |||
Total | ROIC | 1.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | -0.1 | 5.5% | 9.0% | ||
WACC:4.1% | |||||||||
* Figures for FY March 2023 Result in the Metals Company are after segment reclassification. | 7 |
Strengthening Cost Competitiveness
- As part of the measures under the FY2031 Strategy, the Company will implement cost reduction plans totaling approx. ¥9.0 bn by FY2026 and approx. ¥24.0 bn by FY2031.
- In this fiscal year, considering the harsh economic conditions, we expect to achieve a total cost reduction of ¥7.2 bn, ahead of next year's plan of ¥4.4 bn, by taking additional measures besides the initial plan.
- However, in this fiscal year, the Advanced Products business will not achieve the expected cost reduction plan due to lower sales.
(Billions of yen) | |||||||
Cost reduction plan, progress, | Total cost reduction | ||||||
FY2024 | FY2024 | FY2024 | FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2026 | ||
and additional measures for FY2024 | |||||||
Additional | Total Cost | ||||||
Plan | Forecast | Plan | Plan | ||||
Measures | Reduction | ||||||
Plan to reduce costs by | |||||||
increasing the processing capacity of copper | |||||||
Metals | concentrate in Naoshima, but the effect is | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 0.01 | 2.6 |
expected to start in FY2026. | |||||||
Energy and slag cost reduction, etc. | |||||||
Improvement of yield rates, marginal profit, | |||||||
Advanced | etc. | ||||||
Expected to fall short due to a | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 3.2 | |
Products | |||||||
decrease in lower sales | |||||||
Outsourcing and labor cost reduction | |||||||
Cost reduction by the development of | |||||||
Metalworking | smart factories | ||||||
Generally on par with the plan | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 3.0 | |
Solutions | |||||||
Accumulation of cost reductions for | |||||||
non-consolidated and subsidiaries | |||||||
Preparations are underway to | |||||||
Renewable | improve operational efficiency through automated | ||||||
operation | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 0.02 | |
Energy | Reduction of power plant operating | ||||||
expenses, etc. | |||||||
Total | 2.6 | 2.0 | 5.2 | 7.2 | 4.4 | 8.8 | |
8
2. Progress on Major Initiatives of the FY2031 Strategy
Medium-term Management Strategy FY2031 (the FY2031 Strategy)
For people, society and the earth, circulating resources for a sustainable future
Prosperous
society
Recycling-
oriented society
Decarbonized
society
Build a recycling system of metal resources based on our strengths and realize growth throughout the value chain by expanding the scope, regions, and scale of our operations
Resource
Decomposition and separation | Smelting | Material processing and product manufacturing |
procurement
(1) Expansion of resource recycling
Metals Company
Resources Business,
Smelting & Resource Recycling Business
- E-Scrapinformation network with recyclers in more than 60 countries around the world
- Base for highly efficient collection of used products (collection sites)
- Advanced decomposition and separation technologies cultivated through home appliance recycling
- Highly efficient recycling technology using smelting systems
(2) Enhancing the supply of
high-performance materials and products
Advanced Products Company
Copper & Copper Alloy Business,
Electronic Materials and Components Business
-
High-performancematerials and processed products
(copper alloy, oxygen-free copper, silicon precision processed products, etc.) - Global expansion of EV connectors and superconducting wires for MRI
Metalworking Solutions Company
Carbide Tool Business, Tungsten Business,
and Solutions Business
- Ability to cope with difficult-to-cut materials and new materials
- Materials and coating technologies, and technical proposals
Sales and use
(3) Implementing GHG reduction measures to achieve carbon neutrality
Supply of renewable electricity | Renewable Energy Business | Supply of renewable electricity |
Geothermal, hydroelectric, solar, and wind power
generation Business
- Technology based on abundant achievements and experience in the geothermal power generation business
*The Environmental & Recycling business was integrated into Metals Company in April 2023, and the Renewable Energy business was reorganized under the Strategic Headquarters.
10
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Mitsubishi Materials Corporation published this content on 14 November 2023 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 14 November 2023 14:57:58 UTC.