OATLY GROUP AB |
Real-time Estimate
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 1.285 USD | +4.47% |
|
-1.56% | +7.62% |
| Apr. 30 | Sector Update: Consumer Stocks Slipping in Late Afternoon Trading | MT |
| Apr. 30 | Sector Update: Consumer | MT |
Valuation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 4,711 | 1,030 | 700 | 731.6 | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 4,314 | 1,030 | 660 | 1,146 | 1,207 | 1,244 |
| P/E ratio | -20.4 x | -2.64 x | -1.69 x | -4.43 x | -6.41 x | -7.69 x |
| Yield | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 7.32 x | 1.43 x | 0.89 x | 0.88 x | 0.81 x | 0.75 x |
| EV / Revenue | 6.71 x | 1.43 x | 0.84 x | 1.38 x | 1.34 x | 1.28 x |
| EV / EBITDA | -29.4 x | -3.84 x | -4.19 x | -25.4 x | 117 x | 30.3 x |
| EV / FCF | -8.85 x | - | -2.81 x | -9.1 x | -15 x | -21.3 x |
| FCF Yield | -11.3% | - | -35.6% | -11% | -6.66% | -4.7% |
| Price to Book | 3.79 x | - | 2.1 x | 4.32 x | 13.7 x | -35.1 x |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 591,777 | 591,901 | 593,201 | 594,811 | - | - |
| Reference price 2 | 7.960 | 1.740 | 1.180 | 1.230 | 1.230 | 1.230 |
| Announcement Date | 3/9/22 | 3/15/23 | 2/15/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 421.4 | 643.2 | 722.2 | 783.3 | 829.6 | 899.2 | 974.2 |
| EBITDA 1 | - | -147 | -267.9 | -157.6 | -45.09 | 10.34 | 41 |
| EBIT 1 | - | -213.7 | -396 | -457 | -109.7 | -56.09 | -32.93 |
| Operating Margin | - | -33.23% | -54.83% | -58.34% | -13.22% | -6.24% | -3.38% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | - | -215 | -397.4 | -408.2 | -161.8 | -100.5 | -98.53 |
| Net income 1 | - | -212.4 | -392.6 | -416.9 | -166.8 | -110.8 | -96.78 |
| Net margin | - | -33.02% | -54.35% | -53.22% | -20.11% | -12.32% | -9.93% |
| EPS 2 | -0.1330 | -0.3900 | -0.6600 | -0.7000 | -0.2778 | -0.1919 | -0.1600 |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | - | -487.6 | - | -234.7 | -126 | -80.33 | -58.5 |
| FCF margin | - | -75.81% | - | -29.96% | -15.19% | -8.93% | -6% |
| FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| FCF Conversion (Net income) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Dividend per Share 2 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 3/25/21 | 3/9/22 | 3/15/23 | 2/15/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 Q4 | 2022 Q1 | 2022 Q2 | 2022 Q3 | 2022 Q4 | 2023 Q1 | 2023 Q2 | 2023 Q3 | 2023 Q4 | 2024 Q1 | 2024 Q2 | 2024 Q3 | 2024 Q4 | 2025 Q1 | 2025 Q2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 185.9 | 166.2 | 178 | 183 | 195.1 | 195.6 | 196 | 187.6 | 204.1 | 199.2 | 201.2 | 207.7 | 224.3 | 214.7 | 218.6 |
| EBITDA 1 | -65.61 | -71.39 | -53.37 | -82.7 | -60.46 | -49.87 | -52.47 | -36 | -19.22 | -13.2 | -14.72 | -7.875 | -3.6 | 3.733 | 3.967 |
| EBIT 1 | -92.67 | -92.16 | -74.43 | -104.4 | -125 | -71.57 | -75.48 | -67.35 | -242.6 | -28.41 | -32.19 | -26.4 | -20.59 | -13.87 | -15.94 |
| Operating Margin | -49.84% | -55.45% | -41.82% | -57.02% | -64.1% | -36.58% | -38.51% | -35.9% | -118.86% | -14.27% | -16% | -12.71% | -9.18% | -6.46% | -7.29% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | -85.19 | -88.58 | -75.02 | -111.9 | -121.9 | -73.56 | -86.99 | 45.49 | -293.1 | -45.79 | -37.47 | -33.23 | -39.63 | -23.67 | -21.5 |
| Net income 1 | -79.75 | -87.46 | -71.99 | -107.9 | -125.2 | -75.58 | -86.72 | 44.08 | -298.7 | -45.8 | -39.22 | -35.4 | -40.52 | -23.17 | -21.07 |
| Net margin | -42.9% | -52.63% | -40.45% | -58.98% | -64.17% | -38.63% | -44.25% | 23.5% | -146.32% | -23% | -19.5% | -17.05% | -18.07% | -10.79% | -9.64% |
| EPS 2 | -0.1300 | -0.1500 | -0.1200 | -0.1800 | -0.2100 | -0.1300 | -0.1500 | 0.0700 | -0.5000 | -0.0800 | -0.0676 | -0.0620 | -0.0653 | -0.0400 | -0.0367 |
| Dividend per Share | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 3/9/22 | 5/4/22 | 8/2/22 | 11/14/22 | 3/15/23 | 5/9/23 | 7/27/23 | 11/9/23 | 2/15/24 | 4/30/24 | - | - | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | - | - | - | - | 415 | 475 | 512 |
| Net Cash position 1 | - | 396 | - | 40 | - | - | - |
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | - | - | - | -9.195 x | 45.96 x | 12.49 x |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | - | -488 | - | -235 | -126 | -80.3 | -58.5 |
| ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | - | -27% | - | -74.1% | -81.6% | -159% | - |
| ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | - | -11.6% | - | -35.6% | -17.1% | -13.2% | - |
| Assets 1 | - | 1,834 | - | 1,171 | 974.2 | 841.6 | - |
| Book Value Per Share 2 | - | 2.100 | - | 0.5600 | 0.2900 | 0.0900 | -0.0400 |
| Cash Flow per Share 2 | - | -0.9000 | - | - | -0.1900 | -0.1200 | -0.0300 |
| Capex 1 | - | 274 | - | 69 | 61.3 | 68 | 69 |
| Capex / Sales | - | 42.56% | - | 8.81% | 7.39% | 7.56% | 7.08% |
| Announcement Date | 3/25/21 | 3/9/22 | 3/15/23 | 2/15/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
10
Last Close Price
1.23
USD
Average target price
1.979
USD
Spread / Average Target
+60.87%
EPS Revisions
| 1st Jan change | Capi. | |
|---|---|---|
| +4.24% | 732M | |
| +4.49% | 24.54B | |
| -19.05% | 8.54B | |
| -0.21% | 6.94B | |
| +9.69% | 6.38B | |
| +1.43% | 5.52B | |
| -1.63% | 5.46B | |
| +5.85% | 5.22B | |
| +21.40% | 5.13B | |
| +26.62% | 4.71B |
- Stock Market
- Equities
- OTLY Stock
- Financials Oatly Group AB
