POST HOLDINGS, INC. |
Market Closed -
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 105.4 USD | -0.48% |
|
+1.33% | +19.67% |
Valuation
| Fiscal Period: Septiembre | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 7,733 | 5,823 | 7,018 | 4,895 | 5,249 | 6,395 | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 13,762 | 11,659 | 13,241 | 10,266 | 11,196 | 12,332 | 12,059 | 11,736 |
| P/E ratio | 63.8 x | 8,600 x | 46.3 x | 6.78 x | 17.8 x | 20.2 x | 16.4 x | 14.5 x |
| Yield | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 1.36 x | 1.02 x | 1.13 x | 0.84 x | 0.75 x | 0.79 x | 0.77 x | 0.76 x |
| EV / Revenue | 2.42 x | 2.05 x | 2.13 x | 1.75 x | 1.6 x | 1.52 x | 1.45 x | 1.4 x |
| EV / EBITDA | 11.4 x | 10.2 x | 11.8 x | 10.7 x | 9.08 x | 9.21 x | 8.65 x | 8.05 x |
| EV / FCF | 14.5 x | 29.8 x | 33.5 x | - | 25 x | 24.5 x | 19 x | 16 x |
| FCF Yield | 6.89% | 3.35% | 2.99% | - | 4% | 4.07% | 5.26% | 6.25% |
| Price to Book | 2.72 x | 2.08 x | 2.58 x | 1.58 x | - | - | - | - |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 73,067 | 67,704 | 63,707 | 59,758 | 61,219 | 60,681 | - | - |
| Reference price 2 | 105.8 | 86.00 | 110.2 | 81.91 | 85.74 | 105.4 | 105.4 | 105.4 |
| Announcement Date | 11/21/19 | 11/19/20 | 11/18/21 | 11/17/22 | 11/16/23 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
| Fiscal Period: Septiembre | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 5,681 | 5,699 | 6,227 | 5,851 | 6,991 | 8,092 | 8,301 | 8,386 |
| EBITDA 1 | 1,210 | 1,140 | 1,123 | 963.5 | 1,233 | 1,339 | 1,395 | 1,458 |
| EBIT 1 | 791.9 | 720.4 | 647.1 | 517.5 | 826.3 | 798.3 | 849.7 | 880.4 |
| Operating Margin | 13.94% | 12.64% | 10.39% | 8.84% | 11.82% | 9.87% | 10.24% | 10.5% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 159.1 | 63.4 | 337.2 | 895.3 | - | 452.6 | 536.2 | 586 |
| Net income 1 | 121.7 | 0.8 | 166.7 | 756.6 | - | 346.2 | 410.3 | 450.4 |
| Net margin | 2.14% | 0.01% | 2.68% | 12.93% | - | 4.28% | 4.94% | 5.37% |
| EPS 2 | 1.660 | 0.0100 | 2.380 | 12.09 | 4.820 | 5.225 | 6.436 | 7.270 |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 948.4 | 391 | 395.7 | - | 447.3 | 502.5 | 634.8 | 733.5 |
| FCF margin | 16.69% | 6.86% | 6.35% | - | 6.4% | 6.21% | 7.65% | 8.75% |
| FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | 78.35% | 34.28% | 35.23% | - | 36.27% | 37.53% | 45.51% | 50.31% |
| FCF Conversion (Net income) | 779.29% | 48,875% | 237.37% | - | - | 145.15% | 154.72% | 162.87% |
| Dividend per Share | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 11/21/19 | 11/19/20 | 11/18/21 | 11/17/22 | 11/16/23 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
| Fiscal Period: Septiembre | 2021 Q4 | 2022 Q1 | 2022 Q2 | 2022 Q3 | 2022 Q4 | 2023 Q1 | 2023 Q2 | 2023 Q3 | 2023 Q4 | 2024 Q1 | 2024 Q2 | 2024 Q3 | 2024 Q4 | 2025 Q1 | 2025 Q2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 1,696 | 1,644 | 1,410 | 1,525 | 1,579 | 1,566 | 1,620 | 1,859 | 1,945 | 1,966 | 2,030 | 2,048 | 2,047 | 2,048 | 2,093 |
| EBITDA 1 | 272.5 | 263.1 | 229.7 | 250.8 | 279.7 | 269.9 | 276.3 | 338.2 | 349 | 359.5 | 325.8 | 325.4 | 325.3 | 361.1 | 344.9 |
| EBIT 1 | 155.2 | 145.2 | 117 | 157 | 167.5 | 160.3 | 161.9 | 231.7 | 235.2 | 247.1 | 189.8 | 188.5 | 191.4 | 223.1 | 208.8 |
| Operating Margin | 9.15% | 8.83% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.61% | 10.23% | 9.99% | 12.46% | 12.09% | 12.57% | 9.35% | 9.2% | 9.35% | 10.89% | 9.98% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 72 | 3.6 | 567.7 | 219.6 | 146.6 | 118.4 | 74.5 | 125.1 | 94.9 | 116.7 | 110.6 | 110.2 | 113.7 | 136.6 | 123.8 |
| Net income 1 | 29.9 | -20.8 | 523.3 | 170.2 | 83.9 | 91.9 | 54.1 | 89.6 | 65.7 | 88.1 | 85.38 | 85.2 | 85.98 | 101.1 | 98.4 |
| Net margin | 1.76% | -1.27% | 37.12% | 11.16% | 5.31% | 5.87% | 3.34% | 4.82% | 3.38% | 4.48% | 4.21% | 4.16% | 4.2% | 4.94% | 4.7% |
| EPS 2 | 0.3900 | -0.2500 | 8.400 | 2.720 | 1.320 | 1.520 | 0.9200 | 1.380 | 1.010 | 1.350 | 1.275 | 1.285 | 1.308 | 1.550 | 1.520 |
| Dividend per Share | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 11/18/21 | 2/3/22 | 5/5/22 | 8/4/22 | 11/17/22 | 2/2/23 | 5/4/23 | 8/3/23 | 11/16/23 | 2/1/24 | - | - | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
| Fiscal Period: Septiembre | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 6,029 | 5,836 | 6,223 | 5,371 | 5,947 | 5,937 | 5,665 | 5,341 |
| Net Cash position 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 4.981 x | 5.117 x | 5.54 x | 5.575 x | 4.821 x | 4.435 x | 4.061 x | 3.663 x |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 948 | 391 | 396 | - | 447 | 502 | 635 | 734 |
| ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | 12.3% | 6.57% | 5.96% | 25.2% | 8.49% | 9.29% | 10.2% | 10.2% |
| ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | 2.95% | - | 1.36% | 6.38% | 2.63% | 3.11% | 3.53% | 3.75% |
| Assets 1 | 4,125 | - | 12,284 | 11,861 | - | 11,131 | 11,623 | 12,023 |
| Book Value Per Share | 39.00 | 41.40 | 42.70 | 51.90 | - | - | - | - |
| Cash Flow per Share | 9.160 | 8.920 | 9.010 | 6.100 | - | - | - | - |
| Capex 1 | 274 | 235 | 193 | 255 | 303 | 421 | 373 | 340 |
| Capex / Sales | 4.82% | 4.12% | 3.09% | 4.36% | 4.33% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.05% |
| Announcement Date | 11/21/19 | 11/19/20 | 11/18/21 | 11/17/22 | 11/16/23 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B-
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
11
Last Close Price
105.4
USD
Average target price
115.3
USD
Spread / Average Target
+9.38%
EPS Revisions
| 1st Jan change | Capi. | |
|---|---|---|
| +19.67% | 6.39B | |
| -3.42% | 423M | |
| +8.64% | 205M | |
| +14.29% | 145M | |
| +16.63% | 126M |
- Stock Market
- Equities
- POST Stock
- Financials Post Holdings, Inc.
