S&P GLOBAL, INC. NEW YORK, March 26, 2024 /PRNewswire/ -- S&P Dow Jones Indices (S&P DJI) today released the January 2024 results for the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices. The leading measure of U.S. home prices shows that three out of the 20 major metro markets reported month-over-month price increases. More than 27 years of history are available for the data series and can be accessed in full by going to www.spglobal.com/spdji/en/index-family/indicators/sp-corelogic-case-shiller.
YEAR-OVER-YEAR
The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index, covering all nine U.S. census divisions, reported a 6.0% annual gain in January, up from a 5.6% rise in the previous month. The 10-City Composite showed an increase of 7.4%, up from a 7.0% increase in the previous month. The 20-City Composite posted a year-over-year increase of 6.6%, up from a 6.2% increase in the previous month. San Diego again reported the highest year-over-year gain among the 20 cities with an 11.2% increase in January, followed by Los Angeles, with an increase of 8.6%. Portland, though holding the lowest rank after reporting the smallest year-over-year growth, retained an upward trend with a 0.9% increase this month.
MONTH-OVER-MONTH
The U.S. National Index and the 20-City Composite showed a continued decrease of 0.1%, and 10-City Composite remained unchanged in January.
After seasonal adjustment, the U.S. National Index, the 20-City Composite, and the 10-City Composite all posted month-over-month increases of 0.4%, 0.1%, and 0.2% respectively.
ANALYSIS
"U.S. home prices continued their drive higher," says Brian D. Luke, Head of Commodities, Real & Digital Assets at S&P Dow Jones Indices. "Our National Composite rose by 6% in January, the fastest annual rate since 2022. Stronger gains came from our 10- and 20-City Composite indices, rising 7.4% and 6.6%, respectively. For the second consecutive month, all cities reported increases in annual prices, with San Diego surging 11.2%. On a seasonal adjusted basis, home prices have continued to break through previous all-time highs set last year."
"We've commented on how consistent each market performed during 2023 and that continues to be the case. While there is a large disparity between leaders such as San Diego versus laggards such as with Portland, the broad market performance is tightly bunched up. This is also true of high and low tiers. The average annual gains between high and low tiers across cities tracked by the indices is just 1.1%. Low price tiered indices have outperformed high priced indices for 17 months. Homeowners most likely saw healthy gains in the last year, no matter what city you were in, or if it was in an expensive or inexpensive neighborhood. No matter which way you slice it, the index performance closely resembled the broad market."
"On a monthly basis, home prices continue to struggle in the face of elevated borrowing costs. Seventeen markets dropped over the last month, while Minneapolis has posted a 2.4% decline over the prior three months. Only Southern California and Washington D.C. have stood up the rising wave of interest rates and deliver positive returns to start the year. San Diego rose 1.8% in January, followed by DC with 0.5% and Los Angeles at 0.1%."
SUPPORTING DATA
Table 1 below shows the housing boom/bust peaks and troughs for the three composites along with the current levels and percentage changes from the peaks and troughs.
2006 Peak | 2012 Trough | Current | |||||||
Index | Level | Date | Level | Date | From Peak | Level | From Trough | From Peak | |
National | 184.61 | Jul-06 | 134.00 | Feb-12 | -27.4 % | 310.46 | 131.7 % | 68.2 % | |
20-City | 206.52 | Jul-06 | 134.07 | Mar-12 | -35.1 % | 317.07 | 136.5 % | 53.5 % | |
10-City | 226.29 | Jun-06 | 146.45 | Mar-12 | -35.3 % | 332.78 | 127.2 % | 47.1 % | |
Table 2 below summarizes the results for January 2024. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices could be revised for the prior 24 months, based on the receipt of additional source data.
January 2024 | January 24/December 23 | December/November | 1-Year | ||||
Metropolitan Area | Level | Change (%) | Change (%) | Change (%) | |||
Atlanta | 240.61 | -0.1 % | -0.1 % | 6.4 % | |||
Boston | 318.55 | -0.5 % | -0.7 % | 7.0 % | |||
Charlotte | 270.49 | -0.1 % | -0.1 % | 8.1 % | |||
Chicago | 196.22 | -0.5 % | -0.2 % | 8.0 % | |||
Cleveland | 181.03 | -0.9 % | -0.8 % | 6.9 % | |||
Dallas | 289.85 | -0.2 % | -0.7 % | 2.9 % | |||
Denver | 308.82 | -0.5 % | -0.5 % | 2.7 % | |||
Detroit | 179.05 | -0.7 % | -0.7 % | 8.2 % | |||
Las Vegas | 284.74 | -0.1 % | 0.2 % | 5.6 % | |||
Los Angeles | 421.79 | 0.1 % | 0.1 % | 8.6 % | |||
Miami | 429.02 | -0.1 % | 0.3 % | 7.5 % | |||
Minneapolis | 230.48 | -0.6 % | -1.0 % | 3.1 % | |||
New York | 293.24 | -0.3 % | -0.1 % | 7.6 % | |||
Phoenix | 321.34 | -0.5 % | -0.6 % | 4.6 % | |||
Portland | 315.24 | -0.2 % | -1.0 % | 0.9 % | |||
San Diego | 421.34 | 1.8 % | -0.8 % | 11.2 % | |||
San Francisco | 340.88 | -0.1 % | -0.9 % | 4.5 % | |||
Seattle | 362.04 | 0.0 % | -0.5 % | 4.4 % | |||
Tampa | 381.28 | -0.2 % | -0.3 % | 4.6 % | |||
Washington | 313.82 | 0.5 % | 0.0 % | 6.3 % | |||
Composite-10 | 332.78 | 0.0 % | -0.2 % | 7.4 % | |||
Composite-20 | 317.07 | -0.1 % | -0.3 % | 6.6 % | |||
U.S. National | 310.46 | -0.1 % | -0.4 % | 6.0 % | |||
Sources: S&P Dow Jones Indices and CoreLogic | |||||||
Data through January 2024 | |||||||
Table 3 below shows a summary of the monthly changes using the seasonally adjusted (SA) and non-seasonally adjusted (NSA) data. Since its launch in early 2006, the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices have published, and the markets have followed and reported on, the non-seasonally adjusted data set used in the headline indices. For analytical purposes, S&P Dow Jones Indices publishes a seasonally adjusted data set covered in the headline indices, as well as for the 17 of 20 markets with tiered price indices and the five condo markets that are tracked.
January 24/December 23 Change (%) | December/November Change (%) | ||||||
Metropolitan Area | NSA | SA | NSA | SA | |||
Atlanta | -0.1 % | 0.3 % | -0.1 % | 0.5 % | |||
Boston | -0.5 % | 0.0 % | -0.7 % | 0.1 % | |||
Charlotte | -0.1 % | 0.5 % | -0.1 % | 0.6 % | |||
Chicago | -0.5 % | 0.2 % | -0.2 % | 0.6 % | |||
Cleveland | -0.9 % | -0.1 % | -0.8 % | 0.0 % | |||
Dallas | -0.2 % | 0.3 % | -0.7 % | 0.0 % | |||
Denver | -0.5 % | -0.5 % | -0.5 % | 0.0 % | |||
Detroit | -0.7 % | -0.1 % | -0.7 % | 0.1 % | |||
Las Vegas | -0.1 % | 0.4 % | 0.2 % | 0.8 % | |||
Los Angeles | 0.1 % | 0.2 % | 0.1 % | 0.7 % | |||
Miami | -0.1 % | 0.0 % | 0.3 % | 0.7 % | |||
Minneapolis | -0.6 % | 0.1 % | -1.0 % | 0.0 % | |||
New York | -0.3 % | 0.0 % | -0.1 % | 0.0 % | |||
Phoenix | -0.5 % | -0.4 % | -0.6 % | 0.4 % | |||
Portland | -0.2 % | -0.1 % | -1.0 % | -0.2 % | |||
San Diego | 1.8 % | 1.4 % | -0.8 % | -0.1 % | |||
San Francisco | -0.1 % | 0.3 % | -0.9 % | -0.2 % | |||
Seattle | 0.0 % | -0.1 % | -0.5 % | 0.3 % | |||
Tampa | -0.2 % | 0.4 % | -0.3 % | 0.3 % | |||
Washington | 0.5 % | 0.9 % | 0.0 % | 0.2 % | |||
Composite-10 | 0.0 % | 0.2 % | -0.2 % | 0.3 % | |||
Composite-20 | -0.1 % | 0.1 % | -0.3 % | 0.3 % | |||
U.S. National | -0.1 % | 0.4 % | -0.4 % | 0.2 % | |||
Sources: S&P Dow Jones Indices and CoreLogic | |||||||
Data through January 2024 | |||||||
For more information about S&P Dow Jones Indices, please visit www.spglobal.com/spdji.
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FOR MORE INFORMATION:
April Kabahar
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New York, USA
(+1) 212 438 7530
april.kabahar@spglobal.com
S&P Dow Jones Indices' interactive blog, IndexologyBlog.com, delivers real-time commentary and analysis from industry experts across S&P Global on a wide range of topics impacting residential home prices, homebuilding and mortgage financing in the United States. Readers and viewers can visit the blog at www.indexologyblog.com, where feedback and commentary are welcomed and encouraged.
The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices are published on the last Tuesday of each month at 9:00 am ET. They are constructed to accurately track the price path of typical single-family homes located in each metropolitan area provided. Each index combines matched price pairs for thousands of individual houses from the available universe of arms-length sales data. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index tracks the value of single-family housing within the United States. The index is a composite of single-family home price indices for the nine U.S. Census divisions and is calculated quarterly. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 10-City Composite Home Price Index is a value-weighted average of the 10 original metro area indices. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Home Price Index is a value-weighted average of the 20 metro area indices. The indices have a base value of 100 in January 2000; thus, for example, a current index value of 150 translates to a 50% appreciation rate since January 2000 for a typical home located within the subject market.
These indices are generated and published under agreements between S&P Dow Jones Indices and CoreLogic, Inc.
The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices are produced by CoreLogic, Inc. In addition to the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices, CoreLogic also offers home price index sets covering thousands of zip codes, counties, metro areas, and state markets. The indices, published by S&P Dow Jones Indices, represent just a small subset of the broader data available through CoreLogic.
Case-Shiller® and CoreLogic® are trademarks of CoreLogic Case-Shiller, LLC or its affiliates or subsidiaries ("CoreLogic") and have been licensed for use by S&P Dow Jones Indices. None of the financial products based on indices produced by CoreLogic or its predecessors in interest are sponsored, sold, or promoted by CoreLogic, and neither CoreLogic nor any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, or predecessors in interest makes any representation regarding the advisability of investing in such products.
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SOURCE S&P Dow Jones Indices
