Financials The Foschini Group Limited

Equities

TFG

ZAE000148466

Apparel & Accessories Retailers

End-of-day quote Johannesburg S.E. 06:00:00 2024-04-25 pm EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
96.19 ZAR +3.13% Intraday chart for The Foschini Group Limited +3.54% -13.31%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: March 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 37,698 15,672 40,021 47,666 29,313 31,013 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 45,801 32,631 49,523 57,519 29,313 48,647 46,083 45,636
P/E ratio 14.4 x 6.44 x -20 x 16.5 x 9.78 x 10.7 x 9.28 x 7.81 x
Yield 4.79% 4.95% - 3.39% - 3.74% 4.37% 5.6%
Capitalization / Revenue 1.02 x 0.44 x 1.21 x 1.1 x 0.57 x 0.56 x 0.53 x 0.49 x
EV / Revenue 1.23 x 0.92 x 1.5 x 1.33 x 0.57 x 0.87 x 0.78 x 0.73 x
EV / EBITDA 8.86 x 5.6 x 7.6 x 6.26 x 2.81 x 4.27 x 3.75 x 3.38 x
EV / FCF 22.3 x 14.2 x 6.55 x 26.1 x - 18.8 x 16.8 x 15.7 x
FCF Yield 4.48% 7.05% 15.3% 3.82% - 5.33% 5.96% 6.37%
Price to Book 2.64 x 0.98 x 2.31 x 2.5 x - 1.18 x 1.07 x 0.97 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 231,277 231,600 325,932 323,424 322,300 322,414 - -
Reference price 2 163.0 67.67 122.8 147.4 90.95 96.19 96.19 96.19
Announcement Date 5/23/19 6/18/20 6/10/21 6/10/22 6/9/23 - - -
1ZAR in Million2ZAR
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: March 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 37,128 35,323 32,950 43,370 51,778 55,792 58,939 62,776
EBITDA 1 5,172 5,826 6,515 9,186 10,443 11,401 12,282 13,485
EBIT 1 4,328 4,700 1,547 4,872 5,417 5,703 6,273 7,116
Operating Margin 11.66% 13.31% 4.69% 11.23% 10.46% 10.22% 10.64% 11.34%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 3,578 3,349 -1,713 4,029 4,043 3,782 4,420 5,266
Net income 1 2,638 2,444 -1,862 2,910 3,026 2,691 3,184 3,840
Net margin 7.11% 6.92% -5.65% 6.71% 5.84% 4.82% 5.4% 6.12%
EPS 2 11.31 10.51 -6.140 8.946 9.302 8.962 10.37 12.32
Free Cash Flow 1 2,054 2,300 7,555 2,200 - 2,593 2,745 2,907
FCF margin 5.53% 6.51% 22.93% 5.07% - 4.65% 4.66% 4.63%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 39.71% 39.48% 115.97% 23.95% - 22.74% 22.35% 21.56%
FCF Conversion (Net income) 77.85% 94.12% - 75.61% - 96.36% 86.22% 75.7%
Dividend per Share 2 7.800 3.350 - 5.000 - 3.594 4.201 5.388
Announcement Date 5/23/19 6/18/20 6/10/21 6/10/22 6/9/23 - - -
1ZAR in Million2ZAR
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: March 2020 S1 2020 S2 2021 S1 2021 S2 2022 S1 2023 S1 2024 S1 2024 S2
Net sales 1 16,955 18,368 12,530 20,420 19,022 23,494 - 28,643
EBITDA - - 1,155 - - - - -
EBIT - - 279.8 1,267 - 2,619 - -
Operating Margin - - 2.23% 6.2% - 11.15% - -
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 - - - -2,102 - - 1,742 1,999
Net income 1 - - - -2,278 - - 1,252 1,462
Net margin - - - -11.16% - - - 5.1%
EPS - 5.200 - -7.755 - - - -
Dividend per Share - - - - - 1.700 - -
Announcement Date 11/7/19 6/18/20 11/5/20 6/10/21 11/11/21 11/11/22 11/10/23 -
1ZAR in Million
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: March 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 8,102 16,958 9,501 9,853 - 17,634 15,070 14,623
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.567 x 2.911 x 1.458 x 1.073 x - 1.547 x 1.227 x 1.084 x
Free Cash Flow 1 2,054 2,300 7,555 2,200 - 2,593 2,745 2,907
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 19.2% 18.1% 3.62% 18.2% - 12.8% 13.7% 14.5%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 9.13% 6.12% 1.47% 7.99% - 8.67% 5.85% 6.4%
Assets 1 28,900 39,900 -126,318 36,407 - 31,050 54,419 60,001
Book Value Per Share 2 61.90 68.80 53.20 58.80 - 81.60 89.70 99.00
Cash Flow per Share 2 12.80 17.10 27.00 18.00 - 15.60 13.70 15.00
Capex 1 942 1,100 629 1,574 - 2,180 2,124 2,136
Capex / Sales 2.54% 3.11% 1.91% 3.63% - 3.91% 3.6% 3.4%
Announcement Date 5/23/19 6/18/20 6/10/21 6/10/22 6/9/23 - - -
1ZAR in Million2ZAR
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B+
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
7
Last Close Price
96.19 ZAR
Average target price
126.4 ZAR
Spread / Average Target
+31.36%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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