Financials Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V.

Equities

VISTA A

MX01VI0C0006

Oil & Gas Exploration and Production

End-of-day quote Mexican S.E. 06:00:00 2024-04-25 pm EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
735 MXN -1.34% Intraday chart for Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. +2.08% +43.85%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 671.6 238 465.9 1,397 2,869 4,217 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 879.8 598.5 788.9 1,702 3,272 4,635 4,464 3,991
P/E ratio -18.9 x -2.31 x 9.7 x 5.76 x 7.11 x - - -
Yield - - - - - - - -
Capitalization / Revenue 1.61 x 0.87 x 0.71 x 1.22 x 2.45 x 2.49 x 2.01 x 1.73 x
EV / Revenue 2.11 x 2.18 x 1.21 x 1.49 x 2.8 x 2.73 x 2.13 x 1.64 x
EV / EBITDA 5.15 x 6.17 x 2.02 x 2.23 x 3.76 x 3.59 x 2.92 x 2.27 x
EV / FCF -8.3 x -10.3 x 10.1 x 8.33 x 201 x 26.6 x 16.7 x 8 x
FCF Yield -12.1% -9.71% 9.95% 12% 0.5% 3.75% 6% 12.5%
Price to Book 1.12 x 0.47 x 0.83 x - 2.26 x - - -
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 86,935 87,653 88,430 88,051 95,164 97,191 - -
Reference price 2 7.725 2.715 5.268 15.86 30.15 43.39 43.39 43.39
Announcement Date 2/26/20 2/25/21 2/22/22 2/23/23 2/20/24 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 416 273.9 652.2 1,144 1,169 1,696 2,101 2,437
EBITDA 1 170.9 96.99 390.1 764 870.7 1,292 1,530 1,754
EBIT 1 17.86 -50.68 210.6 529.1 594.2 928.3 1,065 1,214
Operating Margin 4.29% -18.5% 32.28% 46.26% 50.84% 54.74% 50.68% 49.81%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 -16.49 - 152.8 433.5 545.4 568 756 987
Net income 1 -32.72 -102.7 50.65 269.5 397 573.3 633.5 771.6
Net margin -7.87% -37.51% 7.77% 23.56% 33.96% 33.81% 30.16% 31.66%
EPS -0.4090 -1.175 0.5430 2.755 4.237 - - -
Free Cash Flow 1 -106.1 -58.1 78.5 204.4 16.3 174 268 499
FCF margin -25.5% -21.21% 12.04% 17.87% 1.39% 10.26% 12.76% 20.47%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) - - 20.12% 26.75% 1.87% 13.47% 17.51% 28.45%
FCF Conversion (Net income) - - 154.98% 75.83% 4.11% 30.35% 42.3% 64.67%
Dividend per Share - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 2/26/20 2/25/21 2/22/22 2/23/23 2/20/24 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4
Net sales 1 294.3 333.6 289.7 309.2 317.4 398.4 488.4 504.4
EBITDA 1 202.4 - - 288.1 220.6 279.7 334.6 340.6
EBIT 1 143.9 166.8 - 209.1 172.8 190.5 229.4 228.2
Operating Margin 48.88% 49.99% - 67.62% 48.84% 47.82% 46.97% 45.24%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) - 130.9 - - - - - -
Net income 1 - 76.66 - 132.9 90.72 116.3 137.3 136.4
Net margin - 22.98% - 42.99% 25.64% 29.18% 28.11% 27.04%
EPS - - - - - - - -
Dividend per Share - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 7/26/22 10/26/22 10/24/23 2/20/24 4/25/24 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 208 361 323 305 403 418 247 -
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - 227
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.218 x 3.717 x 0.8281 x 0.3991 x 0.4626 x 0.3236 x 0.1615 x -
Free Cash Flow 1 -106 -58.1 78.5 204 16.3 174 268 499
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) -6.04% -18.5% 9.43% 38.3% 38% 37.6% 30.5% 28.3%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) - - - - - - - -
Assets 1 - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 6.930 5.790 6.340 - 13.30 - - -
Cash Flow per Share 1.680 1.070 4.300 - - - - -
Capex 1 240 153 323 485 696 907 901 879
Capex / Sales 57.77% 55.95% 49.51% 42.44% 59.53% 53.49% 42.91% 36.07%
Announcement Date 2/26/20 2/25/21 2/22/22 2/23/23 2/20/24 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B-
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
1
Last Close Price
745
Average target price
-
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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