Fossil, Inc. : Success story
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05/02/2012 | 11:09am
Opinion : Bullish above 129.1 USD
Target price : 140 USD
Stop loss: 129.1 USD
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NASDAQ
Apparel / Accessories |
Fossil is an American brand which sells clothes and accessories under their own brand or below licenses including Burberry, Emporio Armani, Zodiac, Karl Lagerfeld and Zodiac Watches. Founded in 19874 by 2 brother who’s wanted to import retro-modern style watches coupled with a Swiss mechanism at moderately price.
From fundamental viewpoint the company is trading shows a quick turnover growth about 500 million dollars per year, at 3 billion dollars expected for 2012 after 2.57 billion for 2011. Net result is following this growing trend due to a 11/12% net margin. Earnings per share are expected at 5.57 USD for fiscal 2012, representing a 20% increase.
Technically the stock is in a strong upward configuration since January. The 50 and 20-days moving average are used as support of the trend since the last rebound on USD 125.60 support. The weekly data show an accumulation phase below the USD 138.1 resistance and could give a new impetus in case of crossing this level.
Investors could take a buying position on the stock with an objective at USD 140. A stop loss will be positioned below 50-days moving average at USD 129.1.
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| Profitability |
2013e |
2014e |
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Operating Margin (EBIT / Sales)
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16,8% |
17,3% |
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operating laverage (Delta EBIT / Delta Sales)
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0,84x |
1,35x |
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Net Margin (Net Profit / Revenue)
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11,6% |
11,8% |
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ROA (Net Profit / Asset)
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20,7% |
20,3% |
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ROE (Net Profit / Equities)
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27,1% |
26,4% |
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Rate of Dividend
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- |
- |
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