Financials Aboitiz Power Corporation

Equities

AP

PHY0005M1090

Independent Power Producers

End-of-day quote Philippines S.E. 06:00:00 2024-04-25 pm EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
37.1 PHP +1.92% Intraday chart for Aboitiz Power Corporation +6.00% -1.85%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 251,664 195,371 218,551 250,560 272,381 267,337 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 447,327 384,999 395,858 434,193 272,381 449,515 442,064 434,771
P/E ratio 14.6 x 15.5 x 10.5 x 9.1 x 8.36 x 7.43 x 7.9 x 6.44 x
Yield 4.3% 4.44% 2.86% 5.49% - 6.25% 5.96% 6.9%
Capitalization / Revenue 2 x 1.77 x 1.99 x 1.29 x 1.32 x 1.27 x 1.25 x 1.09 x
EV / Revenue 3.56 x 3.49 x 3.6 x 2.24 x 1.32 x 2.14 x 2.07 x 1.77 x
EV / EBITDA 10.4 x 8.86 x 7.85 x 7.78 x 4.01 x 9.03 x 8.92 x 7.84 x
EV / FCF 220 x 14.6 x 14.1 x 20.5 x - 17 x 14.3 x 11.8 x
FCF Yield 0.45% 6.84% 7.08% 4.88% - 5.89% 7% 8.44%
Price to Book 2 x 1.54 x 1.48 x 1.46 x - 1.42 x 1.29 x 1.26 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 7,358,604 7,358,604 7,358,604 7,358,604 7,205,854 7,205,854 - -
Reference price 2 34.20 26.55 29.70 34.05 37.80 37.10 37.10 37.10
Announcement Date 3/12/20 3/9/21 3/9/22 3/19/23 3/12/24 - - -
1PHP in Million2PHP
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 125,635 110,377 110,043 193,994 207,100 210,419 213,274 245,924
EBITDA 1 43,032 43,452 50,401 55,813 67,914 49,764 49,537 55,456
EBIT 1 30,082 32,426 39,115 43,960 31,785 36,488 36,565 39,973
Operating Margin 23.94% 29.38% 35.55% 22.66% 15.35% 17.34% 17.14% 16.25%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 23,397 20,883 24,656 32,712 43,742 47,663 43,174 55,037
Net income 1 17,323 12,578 20,837 27,535 33,102 36,717 34,566 42,383
Net margin 13.79% 11.4% 18.94% 14.19% 15.98% 17.45% 16.21% 17.23%
EPS 2 2.350 1.710 2.830 3.740 4.520 4.990 4.698 5.757
Free Cash Flow 1 2,029 26,353 28,045 21,199 - 26,471 30,934 36,713
FCF margin 1.62% 23.88% 25.49% 10.93% - 12.58% 14.5% 14.93%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 4.72% 60.65% 55.64% 37.98% - 53.19% 62.45% 66.2%
FCF Conversion (Net income) 11.72% 209.52% 134.59% 76.99% - 72.09% 89.49% 86.62%
Dividend per Share 2 1.470 1.180 0.8500 1.870 - 2.317 2.212 2.561
Announcement Date 3/12/20 3/9/21 3/9/22 3/19/23 3/12/24 - - -
1PHP in Million2PHP
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 Q3 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3
Net sales 1 33,250 16,441 - 58,101 48,741 57,523 48,375
EBITDA - - - - - - -
EBIT 1 8,022 9,237 - 11,469 12,760 9,880 7,945
Operating Margin 24.13% 56.18% - 19.74% 26.18% 17.18% 16.42%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 6,793 6,024 - 9,210 9,779 13,149 11,241
Net income 1 5,553 5,150 - 8,024 7,527 10,288 8,922
Net margin 16.7% 31.32% - 13.81% 15.44% 17.89% 18.44%
EPS 2 0.7500 0.7000 - 1.090 1.020 1.400 1.240
Dividend per Share 2 - 0.8500 - 1.870 - - -
Announcement Date 11/15/21 3/9/22 4/27/22 3/19/23 5/16/23 8/14/23 11/15/23
1PHP in Million2PHP
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 195,663 189,628 177,307 183,633 - 182,178 174,727 167,434
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 4.547 x 4.364 x 3.518 x 3.29 x - 3.661 x 3.527 x 3.019 x
Free Cash Flow 1 2,029 26,353 28,045 21,199 - 26,471 30,934 36,713
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 14% 9.38% 15.1% 16.6% - 17.5% 15.9% 18%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 4.33% 3.11% 5.05% 5.85% - 8.12% 7.73% 8.88%
Assets 1 400,069 404,197 412,663 470,324 - 452,048 447,283 477,229
Book Value Per Share 2 17.10 17.30 20.10 23.30 - 26.20 28.70 29.50
Cash Flow per Share 2 5.350 4.320 4.940 4.650 - 5.890 6.050 6.950
Capex 1 37,328 5,429 8,282 13,014 - 22,293 17,175 20,537
Capex / Sales 29.71% 4.92% 7.53% 6.71% - 10.59% 8.05% 8.35%
Announcement Date 3/12/20 3/9/21 3/9/22 3/19/23 3/12/24 - - -
1PHP in Million2PHP
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
C+
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
11
Last Close Price
37.1 PHP
Average target price
43.38 PHP
Spread / Average Target
+16.92%
Consensus
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