Financials Admiral Group plc

Equities

ADM

GB00B02J6398

Property & Casualty Insurance

Market Closed - London S.E. 11:35:27 2024-04-26 am EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
2,699 GBX +0.26% Intraday chart for Admiral Group plc -1.32% +0.56%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 6,618 8,365 9,195 6,302 7,991 8,109 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 6,867 8,556 9,493 6,944 8,849 8,739 8,728 8,164
P/E ratio 15.6 x 16.2 x 9.44 x 17.3 x 24.2 x 17.9 x 15.9 x 14.5 x
Yield 6.06% 5.39% 8.84% 5.24% 3.84% 5.06% 5.75% 6.03%
Capitalization / Revenue 9.33 x 11.1 x 10.8 x 6.92 x 2.29 x 1.79 x 1.64 x 1.68 x
EV / Revenue 9.68 x 11.4 x 11.1 x 7.62 x 2.54 x 1.93 x 1.76 x 1.69 x
EV / EBITDA 12.3 x 13.3 x 12.7 x 13.3 x 17 x 13.6 x 12.9 x -
EV / FCF - 15,124,074 x 54,120,825 x 26,075,786 x - - - -
FCF Yield - 0% 0% 0% - - - -
Price to Book 7.4 x 7.61 x 6.73 x 6.78 x 8.26 x 7.42 x 6.92 x 6.19 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 286,632 287,863 291,245 294,894 297,726 300,436 - -
Reference price 2 23.09 29.06 31.57 21.37 26.84 26.99 26.99 26.99
Announcement Date 3/5/20 3/4/21 3/3/22 3/8/23 3/7/24 - - -
1GBP in Million2GBP
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 709.4 751.6 855 911 3,486 4,522 4,948 4,817
EBITDA 1 559 644.1 749 522.8 521.6 641 674 -
EBIT 1 535.2 620.5 725.4 480.9 462.9 654.1 709.2 738.7
Operating Margin 75.44% 82.56% 84.84% 52.79% 13.28% 14.46% 14.33% 15.34%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 522.6 608.2 713.5 469 442.8 566 647.6 754.8
Net income 1 432.4 528.8 997.9 373 338 461.1 519.3 567.6
Net margin 60.95% 70.36% 116.71% 40.94% 9.7% 10.2% 10.5% 11.78%
EPS 2 1.480 1.792 3.345 1.237 1.108 1.507 1.694 1.862
Free Cash Flow - 565.7 175.4 266.3 - - - -
FCF margin - 75.27% 20.51% 29.23% - - - -
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) - 87.83% 23.42% 50.94% - - - -
FCF Conversion (Net income) - 106.98% 17.58% 71.39% - - - -
Dividend per Share 2 1.400 1.565 2.790 1.120 1.030 1.367 1.551 1.628
Announcement Date 3/5/20 3/4/21 3/3/22 3/8/23 3/7/24 - - -
1GBP in Million2GBP
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 S2 2020 S1 2020 S2 2021 S1 2021 S2 2022 S1 2022 S2 2023 S1 2023 S2 2024 S1 2024 S2
Net sales - 350.8 - 416.2 - - 470.9 - - - -
EBITDA - - - - - - - - - - -
EBIT 1 - - 328.2 - - 257.2 223.7 240.2 - 333 333
Operating Margin - - - - - - 47.5% - - - -
Earnings before Tax (EBT) - - - 482.2 - 251.3 217.7 233.9 208.9 - -
Net income - 243.7 - 807.6 - - 172.1 174.5 163.5 - -
Net margin - 69.47% - 194.04% - - 36.55% - - - -
EPS - - - 2.716 0.6290 0.6690 0.5680 0.5750 0.5330 - -
Dividend per Share 0.7700 0.7050 0.8600 1.610 - 1.050 0.6780 0.5100 0.5200 - -
Announcement Date 3/5/20 8/12/20 3/4/21 8/11/21 3/3/22 8/10/22 3/8/23 8/16/23 3/7/24 - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 248 190 298 642 858 630 619 55
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.4444 x 0.2956 x 0.3981 x 1.228 x 1.645 x 0.9835 x 0.9191 x -
Free Cash Flow - 566 175 266 - - - -
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 52% 52% 56% 35% 36% 44.6% 47.2% 47.2%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 6.01% 6.86% 12.3% 4.46% 5.08% 5.42% 5.8% 6.09%
Assets 1 7,194 7,714 8,101 8,360 6,652 8,512 8,955 9,315
Book Value Per Share 2 3.120 3.820 4.690 3.150 3.250 3.640 3.900 4.360
Cash Flow per Share 0.8100 2.060 0.8200 1.220 - - - -
Capex 1 - 43.1 69.2 101 75.9 81 95 108
Capex / Sales - 5.73% 8.09% 11.09% 2.18% 1.79% 1.92% 2.24%
Announcement Date 3/5/20 3/4/21 3/3/22 3/8/23 3/7/24 - - -
1GBP in Million2GBP
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
26.99 GBP
Average target price
27.72 GBP
Spread / Average Target
+2.69%
Consensus
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