Financials Advance Auto Parts, Inc.

Equities

AAP

US00751Y1064

Auto Vehicles, Parts & Service Retailers

Market Closed - Nyse 04:00:01 2024-04-26 pm EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
75.14 USD +0.58% Intraday chart for Advance Auto Parts, Inc. -4.51% +23.12%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 10,955 10,625 14,682 8,644 3,607 4,479 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 11,284 12,838 15,115 9,748 4,890 6,026 5,878 4,479
P/E ratio 23.3 x 22.1 x 24.9 x 17.8 x 122 x 20 x 17.9 x 15.8 x
Yield 0.15% 0.63% 1.37% 4.08% - 1.33% 1.33% 1.33%
Capitalization / Revenue 1.13 x 1.05 x 1.34 x 0.77 x 0.32 x 0.39 x 0.39 x 0.38 x
EV / Revenue 1.16 x 1.27 x 1.37 x 0.87 x 0.43 x 0.53 x 0.51 x 0.38 x
EV / EBITDA 10.9 x 11.9 x 11.5 x 7.08 x 11.6 x 8.79 x 7.99 x 5.53 x
EV / FCF 18.9 x 18.3 x 18.4 x 32.7 x 112 x 29.2 x 23.3 x 13.3 x
FCF Yield 5.29% 5.47% 5.44% 3.06% 0.89% 3.42% 4.29% 7.53%
Price to Book 3.19 x 3.06 x 4.9 x 3.4 x - 1.55 x 1.49 x 1.36 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 68,849 67,395 61,815 58,788 59,108 59,609 - -
Reference price 2 159.1 157.7 237.5 147.0 61.03 75.14 75.14 75.14
Announcement Date 2/18/20 2/16/21 2/14/22 2/28/23 2/28/24 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 9,709 10,106 10,998 11,155 11,288 11,365 11,562 11,767
EBITDA 1 1,033 1,077 1,311 1,377 420.8 685.7 735.9 809.9
EBIT 1 795 827.3 1,051 1,093 114.4 377.9 421.3 473.9
Operating Margin 8.19% 8.19% 9.56% 9.8% 1.01% 3.33% 3.64% 4.03%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 637.7 651 805.9 648.7 31.85 296.5 328.8 371.2
Net income 1 486.9 493 616.1 501.9 29.74 225 249.9 281.5
Net margin 5.01% 4.88% 5.6% 4.5% 0.26% 1.98% 2.16% 2.39%
EPS 2 6.840 7.140 9.550 8.270 0.5000 3.764 4.201 4.753
Free Cash Flow 1 596.8 702.1 822.6 298.2 43.65 206.2 252.4 337.4
FCF margin 6.15% 6.95% 7.48% 2.67% 0.39% 1.81% 2.18% 2.87%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 57.75% 65.17% 62.73% 21.66% 10.37% 30.06% 34.3% 41.66%
FCF Conversion (Net income) 122.57% 142.41% 133.52% 59.41% 146.81% 91.63% 100.98% 119.87%
Dividend per Share 2 0.2400 1.000 3.250 6.000 - 1.000 1.000 1.000
Announcement Date 2/18/20 2/16/21 2/14/22 2/28/23 2/28/24 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 Q3 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2025 Q1
Net sales 1 2,621 2,397 3,374 2,665 2,641 2,474 3,418 2,686 2,719 2,465 3,432 2,700 2,726 2,496 3,490
EBITDA 1 333.2 242 389.2 376 324.5 287.1 182.6 204.8 28.31 22.91 175.9 199.9 179.5 136.2 190.4
EBIT 1 273.8 176.8 303.6 312.8 258 218.5 90 134.4 -43.7 -48.57 76.04 123.6 115.8 62.34 91.89
Operating Margin 10.44% 7.38% 9% 11.74% 9.77% 8.83% 2.63% 5% -1.61% -1.97% 2.22% 4.58% 4.25% 2.5% 2.63%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 222.4 99.97 183.1 190.8 147.4 127.4 59.61 115.2 -64.32 -60.9 55.6 104.6 94.98 43.9 69.01
Net income 1 169.8 81.67 139.8 144.4 111 106.7 42.65 85.36 -48.63 -35.13 42.2 79.31 72.03 33.72 52.04
Net margin 6.48% 3.41% 4.14% 5.42% 4.2% 4.31% 1.25% 3.18% -1.79% -1.43% 1.23% 2.94% 2.64% 1.35% 1.49%
EPS 2 2.680 1.300 2.260 2.380 1.840 1.790 0.7200 1.430 -0.8200 -0.5900 0.6618 1.306 1.227 0.5934 0.7572
Dividend per Share 2 1.000 1.000 1.500 1.494 1.500 1.500 1.500 0.2500 - - 0.2500 0.2500 0.2500 0.2500 0.2500
Announcement Date 11/15/21 2/14/22 5/23/22 8/23/22 11/15/22 2/28/23 5/31/23 8/23/23 11/15/23 2/28/24 - - - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 329 2,212 433 1,104 1,283 1,546 1,399 -
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.318 x 2.054 x 0.3301 x 0.8019 x 3.048 x 2.255 x 1.901 x -
Free Cash Flow 1 597 702 823 298 43.7 206 252 337
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 16.4% 13.9% 23.2% 27.3% 1.16% 9.15% 8.86% 8.18%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 5.75% 4.27% 5.13% 4.15% 0.25% 2.6% 2.67% -
Assets 1 8,468 11,544 12,017 12,106 12,132 8,670 9,378 -
Book Value Per Share 2 49.90 51.60 48.50 43.20 - 48.50 50.50 55.20
Cash Flow per Share 2 12.20 14.10 17.20 11.90 4.800 8.320 11.40 14.50
Capex 1 270 268 290 424 242 223 308 279
Capex / Sales 2.78% 2.65% 2.63% 3.8% 2.15% 1.96% 2.67% 2.37%
Announcement Date 2/18/20 2/16/21 2/14/22 2/28/23 2/28/24 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
29
Last Close Price
75.14 USD
Average target price
64.52 USD
Spread / Average Target
-14.13%
Consensus
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