Financials Advantage Energy Ltd.

Equities

AAV

CA00791P1071

Oil & Gas Exploration and Production

Market Closed - Toronto S.E. 04:00:00 2024-04-26 pm EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
10.84 CAD +1.03% Intraday chart for Advantage Energy Ltd. +2.65% +27.08%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 514 321.7 1,414 1,631 1,409 1,746 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 817.6 573.1 1,579 1,775 1,631 2,011 1,977 1,996
P/E ratio -21.2 x -1.13 x 3.58 x 5.41 x 14.5 x 15.7 x 8.76 x 12.5 x
Yield - - - - - - - -
Capitalization / Revenue 2.05 x 1.31 x 2.87 x 1.72 x 2.6 x 3 x 2.44 x 2.49 x
EV / Revenue 3.25 x 2.34 x 3.21 x 1.87 x 3.01 x 3.45 x 2.76 x 2.84 x
EV / EBITDA 9.15 x 4.63 x 4.94 x 2.99 x 5.01 x 6.59 x 4.52 x 5.07 x
EV / FCF -46.5 x -9.9 x 18.4 x 6.78 x 53 x 30.2 x 11 x 8.57 x
FCF Yield -2.15% -10.1% 5.43% 14.7% 1.89% 3.31% 9.13% 11.7%
Price to Book - - - - - - - -
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 186,911 188,113 190,829 172,186 165,184 161,062 - -
Reference price 2 2.750 1.710 7.410 9.470 8.530 10.84 10.84 10.84
Announcement Date 2/27/20 2/25/21 2/24/22 2/23/23 3/4/24 - - -
1CAD in Million2CAD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 251.3 245.1 492 950.5 541.1 582.7 715.1 702.2
EBITDA 1 89.39 123.7 319.7 594.3 325.6 305.3 437.4 393.3
EBIT 1 - -348.3 212.8 463.3 176.7 176.6 218.6 204.9
Operating Margin - -142.13% 43.25% 48.75% 32.65% 30.31% 30.56% 29.18%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 - - - - 135.9 143.8 189.6 173.3
Net income 1 - - - 338.7 101.6 110.2 143.6 133.4
Net margin - - - 35.63% 18.78% 18.9% 20.07% 19%
EPS 2 -0.1300 -1.510 2.070 1.750 0.5900 0.6900 1.238 0.8700
Free Cash Flow 1 -17.58 -57.91 85.8 261.6 30.77 66.53 180.5 233
FCF margin -7% -23.63% 17.44% 27.52% 5.69% 11.42% 25.24% 33.18%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) - - 26.84% 44.02% 9.45% 21.79% 41.26% 59.24%
FCF Conversion (Net income) - - - 77.25% 30.29% 60.4% 125.72% 174.66%
Dividend per Share - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 2/27/20 2/25/21 2/24/22 2/23/23 3/4/24 - - -
1CAD in Million2CAD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4
Net sales 1 - - - - 223.2 - - 136.7 147.1 148.5 138.4 147.1 167
EBITDA 1 158.7 60.66 256.3 90.25 187.1 80.78 40.83 84.72 119.2 79.45 72 83 100
EBIT 1 - - - - 157.7 - - 45.02 75.51 38.32 33.9 44.7 60.4
Operating Margin - - - - 70.64% - - 32.93% 51.32% 25.8% 24.49% 30.39% 36.17%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 - - - - - - - 38.32 56.92 30.65 25 36 52.1
Net income 1 - - - - 114 - - 28.15 41.03 22.91 19.3 27.7 40.1
Net margin - - - - 51.06% - - 20.59% 27.88% 15.42% 13.95% 18.83% 24.01%
EPS 2 1.810 0.1000 0.8600 0.2100 0.6000 0.1800 0.0200 0.1700 0.2400 0.1400 0.1200 0.1700 0.2500
Dividend per Share - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 2/24/22 4/28/22 7/28/22 10/27/22 2/23/23 4/27/23 7/27/23 10/26/23 3/4/24 4/25/24 - - -
1CAD in Million2CAD
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 304 251 165 144 222 265 231 250
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.397 x 2.032 x 0.5169 x 0.2422 x 0.6819 x 0.8683 x 0.5282 x 0.6356 x
Free Cash Flow 1 -17.6 -57.9 85.8 262 30.8 66.5 180 233
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) -1.86% -24.1% - 22.4% 6.51% 13% 13% -
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) - - - - - - - -
Assets 1 - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share - - - - - - - -
Cash Flow per Share 2 0.8300 0.5500 1.180 2.650 1.880 1.720 2.770 3.230
Capex 1 174 159 137 241 283 235 285 299
Capex / Sales 69.1% 64.72% 27.91% 25.33% 52.26% 40.39% 39.8% 42.58%
Announcement Date 2/27/20 2/25/21 2/24/22 2/23/23 3/4/24 - - -
1CAD in Million2CAD
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
C
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
10.84 CAD
Average target price
13.46 CAD
Spread / Average Target
+24.18%
Consensus
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