AGL ENERGY LIMITED |
Market Closed -
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 9.37 AUD | +0.11% |
|
+1.85% | -1.16% |
| Mar. 28 | Australia to create $653 million fund to expand solar panel manufacturing | RE |
| Feb. 27 | Australian gender pay gap report exposes top companies | RE |
Valuation
| Fiscal Period: June | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 13,123 | 10,625 | 5,109 | 5,550 | 7,272 | 6,304 | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 15,723 | 13,348 | 8,106 | 8,212 | 9,983 | 8,789 | 8,785 | 8,812 |
| P/E ratio | 14.5 x | 10.8 x | -2.48 x | 6.28 x | -5.75 x | 7.33 x | 10.2 x | 10.6 x |
| Yield | 5.95% | 5.75% | 9.15% | 3.15% | 2.87% | 5.86% | 5.37% | 5.14% |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 0.99 x | 0.87 x | 0.47 x | 0.42 x | 0.51 x | 0.47 x | 0.47 x | 0.48 x |
| EV / Revenue | 1.19 x | 1.1 x | 0.74 x | 0.62 x | 0.71 x | 0.66 x | 0.66 x | 0.68 x |
| EV / EBITDA | 6.88 x | 6.45 x | 4.87 x | 6.74 x | 7.34 x | 4.18 x | 4.57 x | 4.78 x |
| EV / FCF | 23.8 x | 9.55 x | 14.9 x | 14.1 x | 35.3 x | 15.5 x | 96.8 x | 33.9 x |
| FCF Yield | 4.2% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 7.07% | 2.83% | 6.44% | 1.03% | 2.95% |
| Price to Book | 1.56 x | 1.32 x | 0.93 x | 0.85 x | 1.42 x | 1.12 x | 1.07 x | 1.04 x |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 655,825 | 623,138 | 623,034 | 672,747 | 672,747 | 672,747 | - | - |
| Reference price 2 | 20.01 | 17.05 | 8.200 | 8.250 | 10.81 | 9.370 | 9.370 | 9.370 |
| Announcement Date | 8/7/19 | 8/12/20 | 8/11/21 | 8/18/22 | 8/9/23 | - | - | - |
1AUD in Million2AUD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
| Fiscal Period: June | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 13,246 | 12,160 | 10,942 | 13,221 | 14,157 | 13,288 | 13,316 | 13,044 |
| EBITDA 1 | 2,285 | 2,070 | 1,666 | 1,218 | 1,361 | 2,104 | 1,924 | 1,844 |
| EBIT 1 | 1,660 | 1,317 | 959 | 501 | 633 | 1,350 | 1,126 | 1,021 |
| Operating Margin | 12.53% | 10.83% | 8.76% | 3.79% | 4.47% | 10.16% | 8.45% | 7.83% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) | 1,279 | 1,425 | -2,657 | 1,182 | -1,839 | - | 801 | 802.3 |
| Net income 1 | 905 | 1,015 | -2,058 | 860 | -1,264 | 924.9 | 614.6 | 589.2 |
| Net margin | 6.83% | 8.35% | -18.81% | 6.5% | -8.93% | 6.96% | 4.62% | 4.52% |
| EPS 2 | 1.380 | 1.582 | -3.303 | 1.313 | -1.879 | 1.279 | 0.9150 | 0.8835 |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 660 | 1,398 | 543 | 581 | 283 | 566 | 90.8 | 259.9 |
| FCF margin | 4.98% | 11.5% | 4.96% | 4.39% | 2% | 4.26% | 0.68% | 1.99% |
| FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | 28.88% | 67.54% | 32.59% | 47.7% | 20.79% | 26.9% | 4.72% | 14.09% |
| FCF Conversion (Net income) | 72.93% | 137.73% | - | 67.56% | - | 61.2% | 14.77% | 44.11% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 1.190 | 0.9800 | 0.7500 | 0.2600 | 0.3100 | 0.5495 | 0.5032 | 0.4818 |
| Announcement Date | 8/7/19 | 8/12/20 | 8/11/21 | 8/18/22 | 8/9/23 | - | - | - |
1AUD in Million2AUD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
| Fiscal Period: June | 2020 S1 | 2020 S2 | 2021 S1 | 2021 S2 | 2022 S1 | 2022 S2 | 2023 S1 | 2023 S2 | 2024 S2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 6,312 | 5,848 | 5,414 | 5,528 | 5,713 | - | 7,808 | 6,349 | 6,086 |
| EBITDA 1 | 1,068 | - | - | 740 | 723 | 495 | 604 | 757 | 1,029 |
| EBIT 1 | 693 | - | - | 423 | 378 | 123 | 235 | 398 | 654 |
| Operating Margin | 10.98% | - | - | 7.65% | 6.62% | - | 3.01% | 6.27% | 10.75% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1,545 | -294 | 503 |
| Net income 1 | - | - | - | - | 555 | - | -1,075 | -189 | 354 |
| Net margin | - | - | - | - | 9.71% | - | -13.77% | -2.98% | 5.82% |
| EPS 2 | - | - | - | - | - | - | -1.598 | -0.2810 | 0.5640 |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 0.4700 | - | - | 0.3400 | 0.1600 | - | 0.0800 | 0.2300 | 0.3200 |
| Announcement Date | 2/12/20 | 8/12/20 | 2/10/21 | 8/11/21 | 2/9/22 | 8/18/22 | 2/8/23 | 8/9/23 | - |
1AUD in Million2AUD
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
| Fiscal Period: June | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 2,600 | 2,723 | 2,997 | 2,662 | 2,711 | 2,485 | 2,482 | 2,509 |
| Net Cash position 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 1.138 x | 1.315 x | 1.799 x | 2.186 x | 1.992 x | 1.181 x | 1.29 x | 1.36 x |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 660 | 1,398 | 543 | 581 | 283 | 566 | 90.8 | 260 |
| ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | 12.5% | 10% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% |
| ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | 7.06% | 5.53% | 3.57% | 1.3% | 1.63% | 4.96% | 4.03% | 3.68% |
| Assets 1 | 12,815 | 18,366 | -57,595 | 66,353 | -77,613 | 18,663 | 15,244 | 16,028 |
| Book Value Per Share 2 | 12.90 | 13.00 | 8.830 | 9.690 | 7.610 | 8.390 | 8.740 | 9.040 |
| Cash Flow per Share 2 | 2.440 | 3.360 | 2.000 | 1.870 | 1.350 | 2.290 | 2.180 | 1.940 |
| Capex 1 | 939 | 758 | 707 | 646 | 629 | 936 | 1,184 | 985 |
| Capex / Sales | 7.09% | 6.23% | 6.46% | 4.89% | 4.44% | 7.04% | 8.89% | 7.55% |
| Announcement Date | 8/7/19 | 8/12/20 | 8/11/21 | 8/18/22 | 8/9/23 | - | - | - |
1AUD in Million2AUD
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B-
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
10
Last Close Price
9.37
AUD
Average target price
11.14
AUD
Spread / Average Target
+18.89%
EPS Revisions
| 1st Jan change | Capi. | |
|---|---|---|
| -1.16% | 4.11B | |
| -20.00% | 85.7B | |
| +63.42% | 81.88B | |
| -.--% | 51.55B | |
| -0.90% | 48.58B | |
| -4.56% | 45.12B | |
| +1.14% | 41.62B | |
| +2.14% | 34.6B | |
| +10.91% | 33.81B | |
| -21.83% | 25.56B |
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- Financials AGL Energy Limited
