Financials Fair Isaac Corporation

Equities

FICO

US3032501047

Software

Market Closed - Nyse 04:00:02 2024-04-26 pm EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
1,111 USD -6.94% Intraday chart for Fair Isaac Corporation -1.70% -4.57%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: September 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 8,771 12,336 11,296 10,404 21,589 27,450 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 8,771 12,336 12,360 12,125 23,314 29,212 29,087 29,131
P/E ratio 47.9 x 53.8 x 29.7 x 29.1 x 51.3 x 53.7 x 43.5 x 36.8 x
Yield - - - - - - - -
Capitalization / Revenue 7.56 x 9.53 x 8.58 x 7.55 x 14.3 x 16.1 x 14.1 x 12.7 x
EV / Revenue 7.56 x 9.53 x 9.39 x 8.8 x 15.4 x 17.1 x 15 x 13.5 x
EV / EBITDA 23.8 x 26.5 x 22.7 x 20 x 29.9 x 32.1 x 26.7 x 22.8 x
EV / FCF 37.1 x 36 x - - 50.2 x 67.5 x 39.2 x 33.1 x
FCF Yield 2.69% 2.78% - - 1.99% 1.48% 2.55% 3.02%
Price to Book - - - - -32 x -40.8 x -50.9 x -40.2 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 28,897 28,999 28,387 25,253 24,857 24,711 - -
Reference price 2 303.5 425.4 397.9 412.0 868.5 1,111 1,111 1,111
Announcement Date 11/4/19 11/10/20 11/10/21 11/9/22 11/8/23 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: September 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 1,160 1,295 1,317 1,377 1,514 1,707 1,945 2,165
EBITDA 1 368.1 465 543.4 607.1 779.4 910.8 1,088 1,276
EBIT 1 253.5 296 405.4 542.4 765.8 890.1 1,052 1,207
Operating Margin 21.86% 22.86% 30.79% 39.38% 50.6% 52.15% 54.1% 55.73%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 216.1 257 473.1 471.3 553.6 663.7 814.2 947.3
Net income 1 192.1 236.4 392.1 373.5 429.4 520.7 633 748.9
Net margin 16.56% 18.26% 29.78% 27.12% 28.37% 30.51% 32.55% 34.59%
EPS 2 6.340 7.900 13.40 14.18 16.93 20.69 25.53 30.20
Free Cash Flow 1 236.4 342.9 - - 464.7 432.6 741.2 879.6
FCF margin 20.38% 26.49% - - 30.7% 25.35% 38.11% 40.62%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 64.21% 73.74% - - 59.62% 47.5% 68.15% 68.95%
FCF Conversion (Net income) 123.03% 145.06% - - 108.22% 83.09% 117.09% 117.45%
Dividend per Share 2 - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 11/4/19 11/10/20 11/10/21 11/9/22 11/8/23 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: September 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2025 Q1 2025 Q2 2025 Q3
Net sales 1 322.4 357.2 349 348.7 344.9 380.3 398.7 389.7 382.1 433.8 447.1 447.6 450.7 484.1 505.5
EBITDA 1 150.7 184.6 174.3 146.7 172.4 190.8 213.4 202.8 185.8 233.9 242.4 249.9 241.3 271.4 289.4
EBIT 1 115.6 152.1 140.6 134.2 168.4 187.1 210.3 200.1 183.2 230.6 237.7 237.4 232.6 263.6 279.6
Operating Margin 35.86% 42.57% 40.29% 38.47% 48.82% 49.2% 52.75% 51.34% 47.95% 53.15% 53.17% 53.04% 51.62% 54.45% 55.32%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 104.8 132.5 120.9 113.1 117.9 137.5 157.8 140.5 130.6 172.7 175.1 185.3 177.6 206.1 218.3
Net income 1 84.96 104.4 93.5 90.7 97.64 101.6 128.8 101.4 121.1 129.8 133.5 137.2 136.6 155.2 164.3
Net margin 26.36% 29.22% 26.79% 26.01% 28.31% 26.7% 32.3% 26.02% 31.69% 29.92% 29.85% 30.65% 30.31% 32.06% 32.5%
EPS 2 3.090 3.950 3.610 3.550 3.840 4.000 5.080 4.010 4.800 5.160 5.320 5.703 5.927 6.540 7.003
Dividend per Share 2 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 1/27/22 4/27/22 8/3/22 11/9/22 1/26/23 4/27/23 8/2/23 11/8/23 1/25/24 4/25/24 - - - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: September 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 - - 1,064 1,720 1,725 1,762 1,637 1,681
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - 1.957 x 2.834 x 2.213 x 1.934 x 1.505 x 1.318 x
Free Cash Flow 1 236 343 - - 465 433 741 880
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) - - - - - - - -
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) - - - - 28.5% 31.1% 34.1% 34.9%
Assets 1 - - - - 1,509 1,674 1,859 2,148
Book Value Per Share 2 - - - - -27.10 -27.20 -21.80 -27.60
Cash Flow per Share 2 - - - - 18.50 25.60 28.90 32.80
Capex 1 24 22 - - 4.33 20.4 14 15.2
Capex / Sales 2.07% 1.7% - - 0.29% 1.2% 0.72% 0.7%
Announcement Date 11/4/19 11/10/20 11/10/21 11/9/22 11/8/23 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
C+
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
1,111 USD
Average target price
1,317 USD
Spread / Average Target
+18.54%
Consensus
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  4. Financials Fair Isaac Corporation