Financials Kcell

Equities

KCEL

KZ1C00000876

Wireless Telecommunications Services

End-of-day quote Kazakhstan S.E. 06:00:00 2024-04-29 pm EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
3,027 KZT +0.55% Intraday chart for Kcell +0.24% +54.81%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Capitalization 1 370,000 466,000 552,000 325,382 345,000 390,996
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 430,690 538,839 607,007 354,091 348,999 508,389
P/E ratio 43.4 x 46.1 x 31.4 x 10 x 8.55 x 11.9 x
Yield 1.61% 1.93% 3.18% 6.61% - -
Capitalization / Revenue 2.47 x 2.97 x 3.16 x 1.68 x 1.58 x 1.75 x
EV / Revenue 2.88 x 3.44 x 3.47 x 1.82 x 1.59 x 2.27 x
EV / EBITDA 10.5 x 9.22 x 10.7 x 5.23 x 4.67 x 7.47 x
EV / FCF 36.2 x 15.8 x 19.4 x 8.71 x 15 x -5.53 x
FCF Yield 2.76% 6.32% 5.14% 11.5% 6.66% -18.1%
Price to Book 5.44 x 6.51 x 6.72 x 3.31 x 2.49 x 2.28 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 200,000 200,000 200,000 200,000 200,000 200,000
Reference price 2 1,850 2,330 2,760 1,627 1,725 1,955
Announcement Date 3/11/19 5/20/20 3/3/21 2/23/22 3/31/23 3/11/24
1KZT in Million2KZT
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Net sales 1 149,701 156,657 174,684 194,081 219,002 223,747
EBITDA 1 40,954 58,426 56,966 67,705 74,808 68,037
EBIT 1 22,080 41,466 41,738 52,207 60,752 51,506
Operating Margin 14.75% 26.47% 23.89% 26.9% 27.74% 23.02%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 12,263 12,870 24,622 43,202 55,221 42,052
Net income 1 8,531 10,117 17,578 32,506 40,350 32,897
Net margin 5.7% 6.46% 10.06% 16.75% 18.42% 14.7%
EPS 2 42.66 50.59 87.89 162.5 201.8 164.5
Free Cash Flow 1 11,893 34,029 31,215 40,651 23,246 -91,993
FCF margin 7.94% 21.72% 17.87% 20.95% 10.61% -41.11%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 29.04% 58.24% 54.8% 60.04% 31.07% -
FCF Conversion (Net income) 139.4% 336.34% 177.58% 125.06% 57.61% -
Dividend per Share 2 29.86 45.00 87.89 107.5 - -
Announcement Date 3/11/19 5/20/20 3/3/21 2/23/22 3/31/23 3/11/24
1KZT in Million2KZT
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 Q3 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4
Net sales 1 50,245 53,673 50,893 57,010 57,704 53,395
EBITDA 1 20,658 20,768 21,677 23,988 24,454 20,664
EBIT 1 12,874 13,558 14,346 15,644 17,010 13,174
Operating Margin 25.62% 25.26% 28.19% 27.44% 29.48% 24.67%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 - - - - 16,270 11,976
Net income 1 - - - 10,125 13,102 7,891
Net margin - - - 17.76% 22.71% 14.78%
EPS - - - - - -
Dividend per Share - - - - - -
Announcement Date 10/29/21 2/21/22 4/28/22 7/26/22 11/1/22 3/31/23
1KZT in Million
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Net Debt 1 60,690 72,839 55,007 28,709 3,999 117,393
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.482 x 1.247 x 0.9656 x 0.424 x 0.0535 x 1.725 x
Free Cash Flow 1 11,893 34,029 31,215 40,651 23,246 -91,993
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 12.3% 14.5% 22.5% 36% 34.1% 21.2%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 7.98% 14.6% 12.7% 14.3% 14.8% 9.7%
Assets 1 106,961 69,268 138,863 227,361 272,117 339,116
Book Value Per Share 2 340.0 358.0 410.0 491.0 693.0 858.0
Cash Flow per Share 2 30.10 44.10 115.0 257.0 231.0 55.20
Capex 1 12,460 8,832 12,142 18,059 23,421 69,393
Capex / Sales 8.32% 5.64% 6.95% 9.3% 10.69% 31.01%
Announcement Date 3/11/19 5/20/20 3/3/21 2/23/22 3/31/23 3/11/24
1KZT in Million2KZT
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise