LOVISA HOLDINGS LIMITED |
Market Closed -
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 30.37 AUD | -1.94% |
|
+3.40% | +24.11% |
| Apr. 22 | Jefferies Starts Lovisa at New Buy, Price Target is AU$39.00 | MT |
| Feb. 23 | Jarden Research Adjusts Lovisa Holdings’ Price Target to AU$23.79 From AU$28.69, Keeps at Buy | MT |
Valuation
| Fiscal Period: July | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 1,181 | 656.6 | 1,701 | 1,532 | 2,081 | 3,331 | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 1,170 | 636.1 | 1,666 | 1,727 | 2,422 | 3,580 | 3,597 | 3,643 |
| P/E ratio | 32.7 x | 33.6 x | 68.8 x | 26.4 x | 30.5 x | 39.7 x | 31 x | 25.2 x |
| Yield | 2.95% | 2.45% | 2.4% | 5.19% | 3.58% | 2.48% | 2.79% | 3.3% |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 4.72 x | 2.71 x | 5.91 x | 3.34 x | 3.49 x | 4.66 x | 3.92 x | 3.37 x |
| EV / Revenue | 4.68 x | 2.63 x | 5.78 x | 3.76 x | 4.06 x | 5.01 x | 4.24 x | 3.68 x |
| EV / EBITDA | 18.8 x | 7.74 x | 17 x | 12 x | 20.1 x | 15.8 x | 13.5 x | 11.5 x |
| EV / FCF | 51.2 x | 11.9 x | 23.6 x | 18.5 x | 30 x | 25.2 x | 24.2 x | 19.9 x |
| FCF Yield | 1.95% | 8.43% | 4.24% | 5.4% | 3.33% | 3.96% | 4.13% | 5.03% |
| Price to Book | 22 x | 11.2 x | 37.2 x | 23.8 x | - | 39.2 x | 31.7 x | 25.3 x |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 105,566 | 107,460 | 107,460 | 107,460 | 107,832 | 109,693 | - | - |
| Reference price 2 | 11.19 | 6.110 | 15.83 | 14.26 | 19.30 | 30.37 | 30.37 | 30.37 |
| Announcement Date | 8/21/19 | 8/25/20 | 8/25/21 | 8/28/22 | 8/23/23 | - | - | - |
1AUD in Million2AUD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
| Fiscal Period: July | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 250.3 | 242.2 | 288 | 458.7 | 596.5 | 714.3 | 848.8 | 989.1 |
| EBITDA 1 | 62.32 | 82.22 | 97.91 | 143.4 | 120.7 | 226.6 | 266.4 | 315.9 |
| EBIT 1 | 52.48 | 30.6 | 43.53 | 82.68 | 101.8 | 131.1 | 165.7 | 200.2 |
| Operating Margin | 20.97% | 12.63% | 15.11% | 18.03% | 17.06% | 18.35% | 19.53% | 20.24% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 52.62 | 20.86 | 38.32 | 76.66 | 92.9 | 113.8 | 148.3 | 181.3 |
| Net income 1 | 37.04 | 19.3 | 24.83 | 58.39 | 68.16 | 84.19 | 110.3 | 135.5 |
| Net margin | 14.8% | 7.97% | 8.62% | 12.73% | 11.43% | 11.79% | 12.99% | 13.7% |
| EPS 2 | 0.3421 | 0.1820 | 0.2300 | 0.5407 | 0.6330 | 0.7654 | 0.9797 | 1.204 |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 22.87 | 53.6 | 70.57 | 93.18 | 80.63 | 141.9 | 148.7 | 183.1 |
| FCF margin | 9.14% | 22.13% | 24.5% | 20.31% | 13.52% | 19.86% | 17.52% | 18.51% |
| FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | 36.69% | 65.18% | 72.08% | 64.99% | 66.82% | 62.62% | 55.82% | 57.98% |
| FCF Conversion (Net income) | 61.74% | 277.71% | 284.24% | 159.59% | 118.29% | 168.54% | 134.88% | 135.18% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 0.3300 | 0.1500 | 0.3800 | 0.7400 | 0.6900 | 0.7529 | 0.8461 | 1.002 |
| Announcement Date | 8/21/19 | 8/25/20 | 8/25/21 | 8/28/22 | 8/23/23 | - | - | - |
1AUD in Million2AUD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
| Fiscal Period: Julio | 2020 S1 | 2020 S2 | 2021 S1 | 2021 S2 | 2022 S1 | 2022 S2 | 2023 S1 | 2023 S2 | 2024 S1 | 2024 S2 | 2025 S1 | 2025 S2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 162.8 | 79.42 | 146.9 | 141.2 | 217.8 | 240.9 | 315.5 | 281 | 373 | 339 | 445 | 400 |
| EBITDA | 46.66 | 35.57 | 39.6 | 58.31 | 57.9 | 61.61 | 77.55 | 43.13 | 128.4 | - | - | - |
| EBIT 1 | 40.41 | -9.81 | - | 13 | 49.1 | 33.58 | 69.3 | 32.45 | 81.55 | 46.5 | - | - |
| Operating Margin | 24.83% | -12.35% | - | 9.21% | 22.54% | 13.94% | 21.97% | 11.55% | 21.86% | 13.72% | - | - |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) | 40.4 | -19.54 | - | 10.38 | 47.9 | 28.76 | - | 27.8 | 72.69 | - | - | - |
| Net income | 27.85 | -8.549 | - | 5.277 | 36.7 | 21.69 | 47.72 | 20.44 | 53.47 | - | - | - |
| Net margin | 17.11% | -10.76% | - | 3.74% | 16.85% | 9% | 15.13% | 7.28% | 14.34% | - | - | - |
| EPS | 0.2630 | - | - | - | - | 0.1987 | 0.4430 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Dividend per Share | 0.1500 | - | 0.2000 | 0.1800 | - | 0.3700 | 0.3800 | 0.3100 | 0.5000 | - | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 2/18/20 | 8/25/20 | 2/18/21 | 8/25/21 | 2/23/22 | 8/28/22 | 2/21/23 | 8/23/23 | 2/21/24 | - | - | - |
1AUD in Million
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
| Fiscal Period: Julio | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | - | - | - | 194 | 341 | 248 | 266 | 311 |
| Net Cash position 1 | 11.2 | 20.4 | 35.6 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | - | - | 1.355 x | 2.825 x | 1.096 x | 0.9979 x | 0.986 x |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 22.9 | 53.6 | 70.6 | 93.2 | 80.6 | 142 | 149 | 183 |
| ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | 74.9% | 29.7% | 47.7% | 106% | 101% | 101% | 113% | 105% |
| ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | - | 9.27% | 8.9% | 17.5% | 16.5% | 16.4% | 18.5% | 20% |
| Assets 1 | - | 208.1 | 279.1 | 333.8 | 414.3 | 513.6 | 595.3 | 678.9 |
| Book Value Per Share 2 | 0.5100 | 0.5400 | 0.4300 | 0.6000 | - | 0.7700 | 0.9600 | 1.200 |
| Cash Flow per Share 2 | 0.4300 | 0.7500 | 0.7900 | 1.210 | 1.310 | 1.550 | 1.760 | 2.080 |
| Capex 1 | 23.4 | 26.4 | 14.7 | 37.4 | 60.5 | 49.2 | 60.6 | 66.9 |
| Capex / Sales | 9.33% | 10.9% | 5.11% | 8.15% | 10.15% | 6.89% | 7.14% | 6.77% |
| Announcement Date | 8/21/19 | 8/25/20 | 8/25/21 | 8/28/22 | 8/23/23 | - | - | - |
1AUD in Million2AUD
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
D+
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
17
Last Close Price
30.37
AUD
Average target price
28.56
AUD
Spread / Average Target
-5.95%
EPS Revisions
| 1st Jan change | Capi. | |
|---|---|---|
| +24.11% | 2.17B | |
| +18.44% | 5.18B | |
| -5.80% | 3.15B | |
| -11.12% | 1.4B | |
| -51.45% | 1.03B | |
| -3.61% | 763M | |
| +17.80% | 722M | |
| -14.29% | 475M | |
| -11.64% | 434M | |
| -20.88% | 404M |
- Stock Market
- Equities
- LOV Stock
- Financials Lovisa Holdings Limited
