Financials Nestlé Nigeria Plc

Equities

NESTLE

NGNESTLE0006

Food Processing

End-of-day quote Nigerian S.E. 06:00:00 2024-04-25 pm EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
795.3 NGN -3.01% Intraday chart for Nestlé Nigeria Plc -11.63% -27.70%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 1,165,125 1,192,948 1,233,769 871,922 871,922 630,400 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 1,171,359 1,174,459 1,210,118 909,471 871,922 812,400 747,400 630,400
P/E ratio 25.5 x 30.4 x 30.8 x 17.8 x -11 x 10.9 x 8.9 x 6.33 x
Yield 4.76% 4.02% 3.24% 4.68% - 8.83% - 2.42%
Capitalization / Revenue 4.1 x 4.16 x 3.51 x 1.95 x 1.59 x 0.97 x 0.92 x 0.71 x
EV / Revenue 4.12 x 4.09 x 3.44 x 2.04 x 1.59 x 1.25 x 1.09 x 0.71 x
EV / EBITDA 14.7 x 16.3 x 15.1 x 9.41 x 6.44 x 5.28 x 3.95 x 2 x
EV / FCF 32.4 x 14.6 x 27.9 x -28.3 x - 102 x 12.5 x -
FCF Yield 3.09% 6.87% 3.58% -3.54% - 0.98% 8.03% -
Price to Book 25.6 x 40.7 x 57.7 x 28.8 x - -27.6 x 22.3 x -7.38 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 792,656 792,656 792,656 792,656 792,656 792,656 - -
Reference price 2 1,470 1,505 1,556 1,100 1,100 795.3 795.3 795.3
Announcement Date 2/28/20 2/26/21 3/1/22 2/28/23 2/27/24 - - -
1NGN in Million2NGN
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 284,035 287,084 351,822 446,819 547,119 648,446 683,584 886,004
EBITDA 1 79,513 72,170 80,375 96,619 135,461 153,850 189,044 315,455
EBIT 1 72,062 64,419 71,966 86,866 123,788 140,082 173,064 293,580
Operating Margin 25.37% 22.44% 20.46% 19.44% 22.63% 21.6% 25.32% 33.14%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 71,124 60,638 61,875 71,109 -104,025 83,329 101,670 132,990
Net income 1 45,683 39,212 40,037 48,965 -79,474 57,692 70,885 99,521
Net margin 16.08% 13.66% 11.38% 10.96% -14.53% 8.9% 10.37% 11.23%
EPS 2 57.63 49.47 50.51 61.77 -100.3 72.77 89.32 125.6
Free Cash Flow 1 36,182 80,694 43,359 -32,157 - 8,000 60,000 -
FCF margin 12.74% 28.11% 12.32% -7.2% - 1.23% 8.78% -
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 45.5% 111.81% 53.95% - - 5.2% 31.74% -
FCF Conversion (Net income) 79.2% 205.79% 108.3% - - 13.87% 84.64% -
Dividend per Share 2 70.00 60.50 50.50 51.50 - 70.20 - 19.25
Announcement Date 2/28/20 2/26/21 3/1/22 2/28/23 2/27/24 - - -
1NGN in Million2NGN
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 Q4 2023 Q3 2023 Q4
Net sales 90,231 - -
EBITDA - - -
EBIT 1 15,844 - 32,201
Operating Margin 17.56% - -
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 10,291 - -
Net income 1 6,453 6,913 -36,406
Net margin 7.15% - -
EPS 8.140 8.720 -
Dividend per Share - - -
Announcement Date 3/1/22 10/27/23 2/27/24
1NGN in Million
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 6,233 - - 37,549 - 182,000 117,000 -
Net Cash position 1 - 18,489 23,651 - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.0784 x - - 0.3886 x - 1.183 x 0.6189 x -
Free Cash Flow 1 36,182 80,694 43,359 -32,157 - 8,000 60,000 -
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 95.4% 105% 158% 190% - 187% 384% 401%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 25.7% 17.8% 14.4% 13.5% - 11.5% 10.5% 8.8%
Assets 1 177,854 219,780 278,212 362,640 - 501,670 675,095 1,130,920
Book Value Per Share 2 57.50 37.00 27.00 38.20 - -28.80 35.70 -108.0
Cash Flow per Share - 123.0 - - - - - -
Capex 1 13,763 16,502 21,077 27,724 - 69,859 60,403 97,053
Capex / Sales 4.85% 5.75% 5.99% 6.2% - 10.77% 8.84% 10.95%
Announcement Date 2/28/20 2/26/21 3/1/22 2/28/23 2/27/24 - - -
1NGN in Million2NGN
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
795.3 NGN
Average target price
1,456 NGN
Spread / Average Target
+83.10%
Consensus

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

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