Financials Shoprite Holdings Ltd

Equities

SHP

ZAE000012084

Food Retail & Distribution

End-of-day quote Johannesburg S.E. 06:00:00 2024-04-25 pm EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
248.5 ZAR +3.10% Intraday chart for Shoprite Holdings Ltd +7.32% -9.66%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: Juli 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 87,562 59,663 85,781 106,892 122,464 135,170 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 95,685 61,653 112,053 138,060 154,660 174,024 176,179 178,191
P/E ratio 20.6 x 17.8 x 18.3 x 18.9 x 20.9 x 19.9 x 17.7 x 15.4 x
Yield 2.02% 3.55% 3.5% 3.06% 2.94% 2.88% 3.23% 3.69%
Capitalization / Revenue 0.58 x 0.38 x 0.51 x 0.58 x 0.56 x 0.56 x 0.52 x 0.47 x
EV / Revenue 0.64 x 0.39 x 0.67 x 0.75 x 0.7 x 0.72 x 0.67 x 0.63 x
EV / EBITDA 10.1 x 4.82 x 7.42 x 8.31 x 8.23 x 8.46 x 7.82 x 7.18 x
EV / FCF -329 x 7.93 x 23.5 x 106 x 49.5 x 94.3 x 72.1 x 30.8 x
FCF Yield -0.3% 12.6% 4.25% 0.95% 2.02% 1.06% 1.39% 3.25%
Price to Book 3.35 x 3.1 x 4.02 x 4.17 x 4.69 x 4.65 x 4.15 x 3.71 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 554,329 552,643 551,432 545,117 542,839 544,011 - -
Reference price 2 158.0 108.0 155.6 196.1 225.6 248.5 248.5 248.5
Announcement Date 8/20/19 9/8/20 9/7/21 9/6/22 9/5/23 - - -
1ZAR in Million2ZAR
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: July 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 150,395 156,855 168,030 184,078 219,530 240,152 261,738 284,930
EBITDA 1 9,516 12,782 15,100 16,623 18,800 20,567 22,520 24,804
EBIT 1 6,876 7,751 9,664 11,030 11,916 13,280 14,706 16,513
Operating Margin 4.57% 4.94% 5.75% 5.99% 5.43% 5.53% 5.62% 5.8%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 6,339 5,246 6,957 8,286 9,132 10,274 11,453 13,056
Net income 1 4,260 3,356 4,698 5,701 5,886 6,788 7,594 8,773
Net margin 2.83% 2.14% 2.8% 3.1% 2.68% 2.83% 2.9% 3.08%
EPS 2 7.673 6.060 8.482 10.40 10.78 12.46 14.04 16.13
Free Cash Flow 1 -291 7,772 4,765 1,305 3,122 1,845 2,442 5,788
FCF margin -0.19% 4.95% 2.84% 0.71% 1.42% 0.77% 0.93% 2.03%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) - 60.8% 31.56% 7.85% 16.61% 8.97% 10.84% 23.34%
FCF Conversion (Net income) - 231.59% 101.43% 22.89% 53.04% 27.18% 32.16% 65.98%
Dividend per Share 2 3.190 3.830 5.440 6.000 6.630 7.149 8.027 9.180
Announcement Date 8/20/19 9/8/20 9/7/21 9/6/22 9/5/23 - - -
1ZAR in Million2ZAR
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: July 2020 S1 2020 S2 2021 S1 2021 S2 2022 S1 2024 S1
Net sales 1 81,150 75,705 83,430 84,600 - 123,707
EBITDA - - - - - -
EBIT - - 4,427 - - -
Operating Margin - - 5.31% - - -
Earnings before Tax (EBT) - - - - - -
Net income 1 - - - - 2,714 3,339
Net margin - - - - - 2.7%
EPS - - 4.007 4.569 4.940 -
Dividend per Share - - - - - -
Announcement Date 2/25/20 9/8/20 3/16/21 9/7/21 3/8/22 3/5/24
1ZAR in Million
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: July 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 8,123 1,990 26,272 31,168 32,196 38,853 41,008 43,021
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.8536 x 0.1557 x 1.74 x 1.875 x 1.713 x 1.889 x 1.821 x 1.734 x
Free Cash Flow 1 -291 7,772 4,765 1,305 3,122 1,845 2,442 5,789
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 15.9% 18.2% 25.6% 24.7% 22.8% 24.5% 24.7% 25.2%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 6.72% 4.49% 6.6% 6.82% 6.07% 6.25% 6.56% 6.85%
Assets 1 63,419 74,662 71,143 83,572 96,905 108,621 115,770 128,042
Book Value Per Share 2 47.20 34.80 38.70 47.00 48.10 53.50 59.90 67.00
Cash Flow per Share 2 8.990 19.80 14.40 12.20 18.00 16.80 22.10 21.70
Capex 1 5,280 3,217 3,218 5,381 6,709 8,467 8,546 8,243
Capex / Sales 3.51% 2.05% 1.92% 2.92% 3.06% 3.53% 3.26% 2.89%
Announcement Date 8/20/19 9/8/20 9/7/21 9/6/22 9/5/23 - - -
1ZAR in Million2ZAR
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
7
Last Close Price
248.5 ZAR
Average target price
278 ZAR
Spread / Average Target
+11.87%
Consensus
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  4. Financials Shoprite Holdings Ltd