Financials The National Agricultural Development Company

Equities

6010

SA0007879568

Food Processing

End-of-day quote Saudi Arabian S.E. 06:00:00 2024-04-27 pm EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
32.7 SAR +3.32% Intraday chart for The National Agricultural Development Company -2.10% +17.41%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 2,338 3,029 3,085 2,075 2,831 9,864 - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 3,988 4,514 4,710 2,075 2,425 9,737 9,642 9,366
P/E ratio - - - 21.7 x 15.7 x 27 x 24.1 x 23.4 x
Yield - - - - - 1.53% 1.95% 2.14%
Capitalization / Revenue 1.05 x 1.32 x 1.39 x 0.77 x 0.89 x 2.65 x 2.38 x 2.07 x
EV / Revenue 1.79 x 1.96 x 2.12 x 0.77 x 0.76 x 2.62 x 2.33 x 1.97 x
EV / EBITDA 8.49 x 12.5 x 18 x 4.95 x 3.76 x 14.9 x 12.8 x 11.7 x
EV / FCF 16.6 x 19.9 x -44.1 x 4.59 x 6.69 x -10.9 x 18.8 x 16.7 x
FCF Yield 6.03% 5.02% -2.27% 21.8% 15% -9.16% 5.33% 5.98%
Price to Book 1.62 x 2.05 x 2.58 x 1.6 x 2.34 x 2.5 x 2.43 x 2.21 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 101,640 101,640 101,640 101,640 101,640 301,640 - -
Reference price 2 23.00 29.80 30.35 20.42 27.85 32.70 32.70 32.70
Announcement Date 3/25/20 3/17/21 3/27/22 2/19/23 2/18/24 - - -
1SAR in Million2SAR
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net sales 1 2,225 2,303 2,225 2,694 3,197 3,716 4,144 4,755
EBITDA 1 469.6 361 261.7 419.6 645.6 654 750.5 803.5
EBIT 1 191.9 184 -213.3 164.1 344.6 409 478 522.5
Operating Margin 8.62% 7.99% -9.59% 6.09% 10.78% 11.01% 11.54% 10.99%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 -2.384 41.37 -245.3 101.5 290.3 385 436.5 446
Net income 1 -7.298 35.65 -285 95.49 302.1 366 415 423
Net margin -0.33% 1.55% -12.81% 3.54% 9.45% 9.85% 10.02% 8.9%
EPS 2 - - - 0.9400 1.770 1.210 1.355 1.400
Free Cash Flow 1 240.6 226.4 -106.7 451.8 362.6 -892 514 560
FCF margin 10.81% 9.83% -4.8% 16.77% 11.34% -24% 12.4% 11.78%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 51.24% 62.71% - 107.67% 56.17% - 68.49% 69.7%
FCF Conversion (Net income) - 634.98% - 473.08% 120.04% - 123.86% 132.39%
Dividend per Share 2 - - - - - 0.5000 0.6375 0.7000
Announcement Date 3/25/20 3/17/21 3/27/22 2/19/23 2/18/24 - - -
1SAR in Million2SAR
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 Q3 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1
Net sales 1 591.4 1,634 607.3 707.8 702.7 - 785.9 861.1 800.6 876.5
EBITDA - -2.037 - 97.8 - - - - - -
EBIT - - - - - - - - - -
Operating Margin - - - - - - - - - -
Earnings before Tax (EBT) - - - - - - - - - -
Net income 1 3.214 - - - - 37.69 65.13 75.27 124 96.5
Net margin 0.54% - - - - - 8.29% 8.74% 15.49% 11.01%
EPS - - - - - 0.3700 - - - -
Dividend per Share - - - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 10/24/21 3/27/22 5/25/22 8/16/22 10/25/22 5/7/23 8/1/23 11/2/23 2/18/24 -
1SAR in Million
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 1,651 1,485 1,625 - - - - -
Net Cash position 1 - - - - 406 127 222 498
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.515 x 4.113 x 6.21 x - - - - -
Free Cash Flow 1 241 226 -107 452 363 -892 514 560
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 8.01% 2.44% -21.3% 7.67% 12.4% 9.2% 10.4% 9.5%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) - 0.91% -7.34% 2.48% 6.76% 5.8% 5.9% 5.6%
Assets 1 - 3,910 3,883 3,856 4,466 6,310 7,034 7,554
Book Value Per Share 2 14.20 14.50 11.80 12.70 11.90 13.10 13.50 14.80
Cash Flow per Share - - - - - - - -
Capex 1 236 268 362 304 292 1,299 192 166
Capex / Sales 10.59% 11.65% 16.28% 11.27% 9.14% 34.96% 4.63% 3.48%
Announcement Date 3/25/20 3/17/21 3/27/22 2/19/23 2/18/24 - - -
1SAR in Million2SAR
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
3
Last Close Price
32.7 SAR
Average target price
29.6 SAR
Spread / Average Target
-9.48%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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