TILLY'S, INC. |
Market Closed -
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 6.01 USD | +2.21% |
|
+4.52% | -20.29% |
| Mar. 15 | Roth MKM Trims Tilly's Price Target to $7.50 From $8.50, Maintains Neutral Rating | MT |
| Mar. 15 | B. Riley Securities Adjusts Tilly's Price Target to $8.25 From $8.75, Maintains Neutral Rating | MT |
Valuation
| Fiscal Period: February | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 252.3 | 306.4 | 393.3 | 272.2 | 225.4 | 180.6 | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 252.3 | 306.4 | 393.3 | 272.2 | 225.4 | 103.3 | 113 | 180.6 |
| P/E ratio | 11.2 x | -257 x | 6.17 x | 27.6 x | -6.48 x | -9.77 x | -35.4 x | 10.5 x |
| Yield | 11.8% | - | 7.87% | - | - | - | - | - |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 0.41 x | 0.58 x | 0.51 x | 0.4 x | 0.36 x | 0.3 x | 0.28 x | 0.27 x |
| EV / Revenue | 0.41 x | 0.58 x | 0.51 x | 0.4 x | 0.36 x | 0.17 x | 0.18 x | 0.27 x |
| EV / EBITDA | 5.11 x | 19.1 x | 3.77 x | 10.6 x | -12.4 x | -6.1 x | -92.8 x | 5.48 x |
| EV / FCF | 11.4 x | 10.1 x | 7.87 x | -16.5 x | - | -5.18 x | -7.74 x | -21.9 x |
| FCF Yield | 8.77% | 9.93% | 12.7% | -6.08% | - | -19.3% | -12.9% | -4.57% |
| Price to Book | 1.58 x | 1.91 x | 2.26 x | - | - | 1.41 x | 1.4 x | 1.26 x |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 29,679 | 29,781 | 30,966 | 29,844 | 29,974 | 30,057 | - | - |
| Reference price 2 | 8.500 | 10.29 | 12.70 | 9.120 | 7.520 | 6.010 | 6.010 | 6.010 |
| Announcement Date | 3/12/20 | 3/11/21 | 3/10/22 | 3/9/23 | 3/14/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
| Fiscal Period: February | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 619.3 | 531.3 | 775.7 | 672.3 | 623.1 | 610.6 | 635.8 | 672.3 |
| EBITDA 1 | 49.4 | 16.02 | 104.4 | 25.59 | -18.15 | -16.95 | -1.219 | 32.95 |
| EBIT 1 | 28.46 | -3.04 | 87.6 | 11.45 | -30.98 | -30.17 | -21.42 | 3.625 |
| Operating Margin | 4.59% | -0.57% | 11.29% | 1.7% | -4.97% | -4.94% | -3.37% | 0.54% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 31.36 | -2.459 | 87 | 13.43 | -25.78 | -25.32 | -6.694 | 24.65 |
| Net income 1 | 22.62 | -1.145 | 64.25 | 10.09 | -34.49 | -16.22 | -5.186 | 18 |
| Net margin | 3.65% | -0.22% | 8.28% | 1.5% | -5.54% | -2.66% | -0.82% | 2.68% |
| EPS 2 | 0.7600 | -0.0400 | 2.060 | 0.3300 | -1.160 | -0.6150 | -0.1700 | 0.5700 |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 22.14 | 30.43 | 49.98 | -16.54 | - | -19.94 | -14.6 | -8.252 |
| FCF margin | 3.57% | 5.73% | 6.44% | -2.46% | - | -3.27% | -2.3% | -1.23% |
| FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | 44.8% | 189.98% | 47.86% | - | - | - | - | - |
| FCF Conversion (Net income) | 97.85% | - | 77.79% | - | - | - | - | - |
| Dividend per Share | 1.000 | - | 1.000 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 3/12/20 | 3/11/21 | 3/10/22 | 3/9/23 | 3/14/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
| Fiscal Period: February | 2022 Q3 | 2022 Q4 | 2023 Q1 | 2023 Q2 | 2023 Q3 | 2023 Q4 | 2024 Q1 | 2024 Q2 | 2024 Q3 | 2024 Q4 | 2025 Q1 | 2025 Q2 | 2025 Q3 | 2025 Q4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 206.1 | 204.5 | 145.8 | 168.3 | 177.8 | 180.4 | 123.6 | 160 | 166.5 | 173 | 115.2 | 155.8 | 166.5 | 173 |
| EBITDA 1 | 33.31 | 21.01 | 4.616 | 8.647 | 9.827 | 2.498 | -14.05 | 0.558 | 0.574 | -5.233 | -18.02 | 0.4 | 2.142 | -1.77 |
| EBIT 1 | 29 | 17.3 | 1.108 | 5.152 | 6.315 | -1.121 | -17.26 | -2.685 | -2.516 | -8.52 | -20.42 | -3.492 | -1.427 | -4.841 |
| Operating Margin | 14.07% | 8.46% | 0.76% | 3.06% | 3.55% | -0.62% | -13.96% | -1.68% | -1.51% | -4.92% | -17.73% | -2.24% | -0.86% | -2.8% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 29 | 16.92 | 1.112 | 5.335 | 6.99 | -0.003 | -16.2 | -1.465 | -1.175 | -6.946 | -19.95 | -1.766 | 0.1355 | -3.744 |
| Net income 1 | 20.83 | 12.06 | 0.813 | 3.819 | 5.149 | 0.309 | -11.97 | -1.125 | -0.847 | -20.55 | -14.57 | -1.282 | 0.0885 | -2.72 |
| Net margin | 10.11% | 5.9% | 0.56% | 2.27% | 2.9% | 0.17% | -9.68% | -0.7% | -0.51% | -11.88% | -12.65% | -0.82% | 0.05% | -1.57% |
| EPS 2 | 0.6600 | 0.3800 | 0.0300 | 0.1300 | 0.1700 | 0.0100 | -0.4000 | -0.0400 | -0.0300 | -0.6900 | -0.4850 | -0.0400 | - | -0.0900 |
| Dividend per Share | - | 1.000 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 12/2/21 | 3/10/22 | 6/2/22 | 9/1/22 | 12/1/22 | 3/9/23 | 6/1/23 | 8/31/23 | 11/30/23 | 3/14/24 | - | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
| Fiscal Period: February | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Net Cash position 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 77.3 | 67.6 | - |
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 22.1 | 30.4 | 50 | -16.5 | - | -19.9 | -14.6 | -8.25 |
| ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | 14% | -0.71% | 38.3% | 5.74% | - | -12.2% | -4.35% | 4.15% |
| ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | 5.5% | -0.22% | 12.7% | 2.06% | - | -4.2% | -2.9% | -1.3% |
| Assets 1 | 411.2 | 520.5 | 505.9 | 490.3 | - | 386.3 | 178.8 | -1,384 |
| Book Value Per Share 2 | 5.370 | 5.380 | 5.630 | - | - | 4.260 | 4.280 | 4.760 |
| Cash Flow per Share 2 | 1.220 | 1.310 | 2.040 | -0.0500 | - | -0.1800 | 0.0400 | 0.2900 |
| Capex 1 | 14.3 | 8.47 | 13.4 | 15.1 | - | 14.5 | 15 | 15.9 |
| Capex / Sales | 2.31% | 1.59% | 1.73% | 2.25% | - | 2.38% | 2.35% | 2.37% |
| Announcement Date | 3/12/20 | 3/11/21 | 3/10/22 | 3/9/23 | 3/14/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
C-
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
3
Last Close Price
6.01
USD
Average target price
7.875
USD
Spread / Average Target
+31.03%
EPS Revisions
| 1st Jan change | Capi. | |
|---|---|---|
| -20.29% | 181M | |
| +14.99% | 151B | |
| +18.29% | 80.65B | |
| -3.45% | 44.8B | |
| -15.30% | 44.23B | |
| +1.89% | 26.43B | |
| +12.34% | 13.71B | |
| -5.29% | 11.76B | |
| +8.80% | 9.19B | |
| +2.10% | 7.97B |
- Stock Market
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- TLYS Stock
- Financials Tilly's, Inc.
