NAPCO SECURITY TECHNOLOGIES, INC. |
Real-time Estimate
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 40.8 USD | +0.26% |
|
-7.36% | +19.01% |
| Apr. 26 | DA Davidson Starts NAPCO Security Technologies With Buy Rating, $52 Price Target | MT |
| Apr. 11 | Napco Security Technologies: A small security champion |  |
Valuation
| Fiscal Period: June | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 548.3 | 429.1 | 667.4 | 756.3 | 1,274 | 1,499 | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 548.3 | 429.1 | 667.4 | 756.3 | 1,274 | 1,499 | 1,499 | 1,499 |
| P/E ratio | 45 x | 50.8 x | 44.9 x | 38.8 x | 47.5 x | 31.4 x | 26.7 x | 18.9 x |
| Yield | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 5.33 x | 4.23 x | 5.85 x | 5.27 x | 7.49 x | 7.87 x | 6.88 x | 5.64 x |
| EV / Revenue | 5.33 x | 4.23 x | 5.85 x | 5.27 x | 7.49 x | 7.87 x | 6.88 x | 5.64 x |
| EV / EBITDA | 36.5 x | 29.1 x | 34.3 x | 33.4 x | 37.1 x | 26 x | 21.2 x | 14.5 x |
| EV / FCF | - | - | 30.4 x | 110 x | 58.6 x | 34.9 x | 28 x | 19.7 x |
| FCF Yield | - | - | 3.29% | 0.91% | 1.71% | 2.86% | 3.57% | 5.07% |
| Price to Book | - | - | 7.16 x | 6.67 x | 9.09 x | 8.24 x | 6.33 x | - |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 36,950 | 36,692 | 36,702 | 36,734 | 36,768 | 36,820 | - | - |
| Reference price 2 | 14.84 | 11.70 | 18.18 | 20.59 | 34.65 | 40.70 | 40.70 | 40.70 |
| Announcement Date | 9/3/19 | 9/8/20 | 9/13/21 | 8/29/22 | 8/29/23 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
| Fiscal Period: June | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 102.9 | 101.4 | 114 | 143.6 | 170 | 190.5 | 217.9 | 265.6 |
| EBITDA 1 | 15.04 | 14.74 | 19.47 | 22.63 | 34.3 | 57.74 | 70.77 | 103.5 |
| EBIT 1 | 13.94 | 13.51 | 18.2 | 21.25 | 30.32 | 53.22 | 64.03 | 93.24 |
| Operating Margin | 13.54% | 13.33% | 15.96% | 14.8% | 17.84% | 27.94% | 29.38% | 35.11% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 13.44 | 10.8 | 17.33 | 21.85 | 31.23 | 55.85 | 66.96 | 96.1 |
| Net income 1 | 12.22 | 8.52 | 14.9 | 19.6 | 27.13 | 47.26 | 56.78 | 80.2 |
| Net margin | 11.87% | 8.41% | 13.07% | 13.65% | 15.96% | 24.81% | 26.06% | 30.2% |
| EPS 2 | 0.3300 | 0.2300 | 0.4050 | 0.5300 | 0.7300 | 1.298 | 1.526 | 2.150 |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | - | - | 21.98 | 6.85 | 21.74 | 42.92 | 53.46 | 76 |
| FCF margin | - | - | 19.27% | 4.77% | 12.79% | 22.53% | 24.53% | 28.62% |
| FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | - | - | 112.91% | 30.27% | 63.39% | 74.33% | 75.54% | 73.41% |
| FCF Conversion (Net income) | - | - | 147.51% | 34.95% | 80.13% | 90.81% | 94.16% | 94.76% |
| Dividend per Share | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 9/3/19 | 9/8/20 | 9/13/21 | 8/29/22 | 8/29/23 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
| Fiscal Period: June | 2022 Q1 | 2022 Q2 | 2022 Q3 | 2022 Q4 | 2023 Q1 | 2023 Q2 | 2023 Q3 | 2023 Q4 | 2024 Q1 | 2024 Q2 | 2024 Q3 | 2024 Q4 | 2025 Q1 | 2025 Q2 | 2025 Q3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 31.05 | 33.41 | 35.9 | 43.23 | 39.49 | 42.31 | 43.53 | 44.66 | 41.68 | 47.55 | 48.61 | 50.91 | 47.34 | 52.62 | 54.72 |
| EBITDA 1 | 8.61 | 2.971 | 5.219 | 9.255 | 8.318 | 10.3 | 12.74 | 13.04 | 12.86 | 15.1 | 14.5 | 15.43 | 14.85 | 16.95 | 17.43 |
| EBIT 1 | 4.179 | 1.27 | 4.88 | 8.902 | 7.249 | 9.436 | 11.93 | 11.81 | 11.56 | 13.8 | 13.47 | 14.39 | 13.74 | 16.12 | 16.37 |
| Operating Margin | 13.46% | 3.8% | 13.59% | 20.59% | 18.36% | 22.3% | 27.41% | 26.44% | 27.73% | 29.03% | 27.7% | 28.26% | 29.02% | 30.63% | 29.91% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 8.1 | 1.328 | 3.93 | 8.013 | 7.146 | 9.623 | 12.37 | 12.19 | 12 | 14.53 | 14.19 | 15.12 | 14.53 | 16.62 | 17.1 |
| Net income 1 | 7.752 | 1.037 | 2.879 | 7.537 | 6.402 | 8.446 | 10.84 | 10.56 | 10.48 | 12.61 | 12.12 | 12.92 | 12.32 | 14.09 | 14.5 |
| Net margin | 24.97% | 3.1% | 8.02% | 17.44% | 16.21% | 19.96% | 24.9% | 23.66% | 25.14% | 26.52% | 24.93% | 25.39% | 26.03% | 26.77% | 26.5% |
| EPS 2 | 0.2100 | 0.0300 | 0.0800 | 0.2000 | 0.1700 | 0.2300 | 0.2900 | 0.2800 | 0.2800 | 0.3400 | 0.3280 | 0.3500 | 0.3320 | 0.3780 | 0.3900 |
| Dividend per Share | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 11/8/21 | 2/7/22 | 5/9/22 | 8/29/22 | 11/7/22 | 2/6/23 | 5/8/23 | 8/29/23 | 11/6/23 | 2/5/24 | - | - | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
| Fiscal Period: June | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Net Cash position | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | - | - | 22 | 6.85 | 21.7 | 42.9 | 53.5 | 76 |
| ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Assets 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Book Value Per Share 2 | - | - | 2.540 | 3.090 | 3.810 | 4.940 | 6.430 | - |
| Cash Flow per Share 2 | - | - | - | - | - | 0.7000 | 1.200 | 1.500 |
| Capex 1 | - | - | 1.01 | 1.48 | 2.96 | 1.36 | 2.5 | 2 |
| Capex / Sales | - | - | 0.88% | 1.03% | 1.74% | 0.72% | 1.15% | 0.75% |
| Announcement Date | 9/3/19 | 9/8/20 | 9/13/21 | 8/29/22 | 8/29/23 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
D
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
6
Last Close Price
40.7
USD
Average target price
45.83
USD
Spread / Average Target
+12.61%
EPS Revisions
| 1st Jan change | Capi. | |
|---|---|---|
| +19.01% | 1.5B | |
| -4.64% | 42.68B | |
| -4.19% | 10.63B | |
| -2.49% | 8.14B | |
| -4.77% | 5.86B | |
| +3.08% | 2.85B | |
| +8.04% | 2.24B | |
| +9.83% | 1.75B | |
| +4.48% | 1.52B | |
| -0.33% | 1.46B |
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