THE MONOGATARI CORPORATION |
Market Closed -
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 4,215 JPY | -0.24% |
|
-3.21% | -3.99% |
| Apr. 10 | The Monogatari Corp.’s All Restaurants Sales Increased Year on Year by 16.2% in September | MT |
| Mar. 11 | The Monogatari Corporation Reports Unaudited Sales Results for the Month February 2024 | CI |
Valuation
| Fiscal Period: June | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 51,708 | 50,552 | 90,150 | 70,966 | 124,351 | 150,308 | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 51,605 | 53,180 | 92,972 | 73,090 | 127,327 | 150,308 | 150,308 | 150,308 |
| P/E ratio | 17.6 x | 111 x | 33 x | 19 x | 26.9 x | 26.4 x | 20.4 x | 17.7 x |
| Yield | 1.05% | 1.13% | 0.8% | 1.11% | 0.77% | 0.71% | 0.81% | 0.9% |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 0.88 x | 0.87 x | 1.41 x | 0.97 x | 1.35 x | 1.41 x | 1.24 x | 1.11 x |
| EV / Revenue | 0.88 x | 0.87 x | 1.41 x | 0.97 x | 1.35 x | 1.41 x | 1.24 x | 1.11 x |
| EV / EBITDA | 8.08 x | 9.26 x | 17.2 x | 11.8 x | 11.4 x | 11.6 x | 9.8 x | 8.77 x |
| EV / FCF | 49.3 x | -24.7 x | 313 x | 50.9 x | 75.2 x | 75.4 x | 31.8 x | 25.3 x |
| FCF Yield | 2.03% | -4.04% | 0.32% | 1.97% | 1.33% | 1.33% | 3.14% | 3.96% |
| Price to Book | 2.94 x | 2.9 x | 4.6 x | 3.13 x | 5.08 x | 5.18 x | 4.26 x | 3.57 x |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 36,117 | 36,151 | 36,205 | 36,331 | 35,682 | 35,660 | - | - |
| Reference price 2 | 1,432 | 1,398 | 2,490 | 1,953 | 3,485 | 4,215 | 4,215 | 4,215 |
| Announcement Date | 8/9/19 | 8/11/20 | 8/10/21 | 8/10/22 | 8/10/23 | - | - | - |
1JPY in Million2JPY
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
| Fiscal Period: June | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 58,924 | 57,960 | 64,018 | 73,277 | 92,274 | 106,867 | 120,837 | 135,480 |
| EBITDA 1 | 6,397 | 5,460 | 5,238 | 6,015 | 10,946 | 12,915 | 15,330 | 17,140 |
| EBIT 1 | 3,933 | 3,033 | 2,555 | 2,873 | 7,202 | 8,910 | 11,220 | 12,893 |
| Operating Margin | 6.67% | 5.23% | 3.99% | 3.92% | 7.81% | 8.34% | 9.29% | 9.52% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 4,220 | 1,176 | 3,672 | 5,465 | 6,709 | 8,100 | 10,530 | 11,650 |
| Net income 1 | 2,938 | 456 | 2,727 | 3,727 | 4,693 | 5,690 | 7,370 | 8,510 |
| Net margin | 4.99% | 0.79% | 4.26% | 5.09% | 5.09% | 5.32% | 6.1% | 6.28% |
| EPS 2 | 81.39 | 12.64 | 75.36 | 102.9 | 129.5 | 159.6 | 206.7 | 238.6 |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 1,050 | -2,044 | 288.3 | 1,395 | 1,653 | 1,995 | 4,726 | 5,948 |
| FCF margin | 1.78% | -3.53% | 0.45% | 1.9% | 1.79% | 1.87% | 3.91% | 4.39% |
| FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | 16.41% | - | 5.5% | 23.19% | 15.1% | 15.44% | 30.83% | 34.71% |
| FCF Conversion (Net income) | 35.73% | - | 10.57% | 37.43% | 35.22% | 35.06% | 64.13% | 69.9% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 15.00 | 15.83 | 20.00 | 21.67 | 26.67 | 30.00 | 34.33 | 38.00 |
| Announcement Date | 8/9/19 | 8/11/20 | 8/10/21 | 8/10/22 | 8/10/23 | - | - | - |
1JPY in Million2JPY
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
| Fiscal Period: June | 2020 S1 | 2021 S1 | 2022 Q1 | 2022 Q2 | 2022 S1 | 2022 Q3 | 2022 Q4 | 2023 Q1 | 2023 Q2 | 2023 S1 | 2023 Q3 | 2023 Q4 | 2024 Q1 | 2024 Q2 | 2024 S1 | 2024 Q3 | 2024 Q4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 31,507 | 34,472 | 15,730 | 19,813 | 35,543 | 18,446 | 19,288 | 21,910 | 22,268 | 44,178 | 24,177 | 23,919 | 25,909 | 26,096 | 52,005 | 27,545 | 26,550 |
| EBITDA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| EBIT 1 | 1,813 | 3,178 | -32 | 1,541 | 1,509 | 457 | 907 | 1,855 | 1,628 | 3,483 | 2,148 | 1,571 | 2,189 | 2,021 | 4,210 | 3,260 | 1,445 |
| Operating Margin | 5.75% | 9.22% | -0.2% | 7.78% | 4.25% | 2.48% | 4.7% | 8.47% | 7.31% | 7.88% | 8.88% | 6.57% | 8.45% | 7.74% | 8.1% | 11.84% | 5.44% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) | 1,667 | 3,506 | 1,255 | - | 3,683 | 775 | - | 1,830 | - | 3,352 | 1,972 | - | 2,057 | - | 3,831 | - | - |
| Net income 1 | 1,030 | 2,445 | 816 | 1,644 | 2,460 | 434 | 833 | 1,221 | 982 | 2,203 | 1,328 | 1,162 | 1,335 | 1,124 | 2,459 | 2,601 | 840 |
| Net margin | 3.27% | 7.09% | 5.19% | 8.3% | 6.92% | 2.35% | 4.32% | 5.57% | 4.41% | 4.99% | 5.49% | 4.86% | 5.15% | 4.31% | 4.73% | 9.44% | 3.16% |
| EPS | 28.54 | 67.59 | 22.55 | - | 67.92 | 11.98 | - | 33.62 | - | 60.64 | 36.55 | - | 37.46 | - | 68.98 | - | - |
| Dividend per Share | 9.167 | 8.333 | - | - | 10.00 | - | - | - | - | 11.67 | - | - | - | - | 15.00 | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 2/7/20 | 2/8/21 | 11/9/21 | 2/10/22 | 2/10/22 | 5/10/22 | 8/10/22 | 11/9/22 | 2/10/23 | 2/10/23 | 5/10/23 | 8/10/23 | 11/9/23 | 2/9/24 | 2/9/24 | - | - |
1JPY in Million
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
| Fiscal Period: June | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt | - | 2,628 | 2,822 | 2,124 | 2,976 | - | - | - |
| Net Cash position | 103 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | 0.4813 x | 0.5388 x | 0.3531 x | 0.2719 x | - | - | - |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 1,050 | -2,044 | 288 | 1,395 | 1,653 | 1,995 | 4,727 | 5,949 |
| ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | 17.9% | 2.6% | 14.7% | 17.6% | 19.9% | 21.1% | 21.4% | 21% |
| ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | 15% | 8.51% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 12.3% |
| Assets 1 | 19,584 | 5,358 | 27,549 | 28,389 | 31,446 | 54,190 | 62,458 | 69,187 |
| Book Value Per Share 2 | 487.0 | 481.0 | 542.0 | 623.0 | 686.0 | 814.0 | 990.0 | 1,181 |
| Cash Flow per Share | 150.0 | 79.80 | 149.0 | 190.0 | 233.0 | - | - | - |
| Capex 1 | 4,456 | 4,411 | 5,501 | 5,037 | 7,104 | 7,291 | 7,480 | 7,590 |
| Capex / Sales | 7.56% | 7.61% | 8.59% | 6.87% | 7.7% | 6.82% | 6.19% | 5.6% |
| Announcement Date | 8/9/19 | 8/11/20 | 8/10/21 | 8/10/22 | 8/10/23 | - | - | - |
1JPY in Million2JPY
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
3
Last Close Price
4,215
JPY
Average target price
5,533
JPY
Spread / Average Target
+31.28%
EPS Revisions
| 1st Jan change | Capi. | |
|---|---|---|
| -3.99% | 983M | |
| -23.85% | 82.81B | |
| +4.57% | 47.93B | |
| -9.16% | 17.81B | |
| -18.94% | 12.75B | |
| +67.92% | 8.23B | |
| -18.68% | 6.16B | |
| -12.89% | 4.3B | |
| -18.10% | 3.66B | |
| +4.61% | 3.47B |
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- Financials The Monogatari Corporation
